June 18 Thursday XRP Afternoon Outlook In the early morning, the Federal Reserve maintained high interest rates as expected, which fully alleviated market panic, leading to a stabilization and consolidation of the market. XRP experienced an independent rebound, outperforming mainstream cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH. The core support comes from its long-term fundamental advantages: previously, the SEC officially classified XRP as a digital commodity, completely removing years of regulatory litigation risk. Coupled with continuous net inflows into spot ETFs, institutional long-term allocation demand has been steadily released, and the capital consolidation effect is evident. In a weak market environment, XRP has shown a counter-trend rise. On the macro level, although the Federal Reserve’s stance remains hawkish and the long-term liquidity tightening expectation persists, short-term negative news has been absorbed, and risk-averse selling pressure has diminished. Capital has shifted to XRP, which has clear regulatory risk, and the derivatives market’s long leverage financing rates have continued to turn positive, with long positions dominating, providing sufficient rebound momentum. Technically, the daily chart has stabilized above the short-term 50-day moving average, RSI has risen to a neutral to slightly bullish zone, and the MACD green bars have turned red, forming a short-term bullish structure; key intra-day levels are clear, with support at $1.41, which is the strong support of the 50-day moving average. A pullback to this level is a low-buying opportunity; the first resistance above is $1.54 (the 100-day moving average). Breaking through this could target the long-term downtrend line resistance at $1.68. In the afternoon, the overall market remains weak and volatile, but XRP’s independent bullish logic remains intact. As long as the $1.41 support holds, the rebound trend continues; if this support is broken, the current counter-trend rally will end temporarily, and the market will revert to a follow-up correction. Trading strategy mainly relies on low buy-ins at support levels, with strict position control. As US market data releases in the evening may increase volatility, risk management is essential. Trading suggestion: Watch for a buy zone at $1.162-$1.165, with a target of $1.19. If broken, $BTC look for $1.21.

$sol is back around 70, but this time I’m even more nervous The wave that pushed it up from 60 earlier, many thought the bull market was back But what happened? It’s just volatility again. Now $SOL 71.29, down nearly 3% in 24 hours $BTC 64,112, still didn’t hold 65,000 $ETH 1,735, still sliding down Market sentiment hasn’t really shifted bullish Everyone’s talking about bottoming, but no one dares to add positions Afraid of getting caught holding the bag I actually think, if there’s another pullback, around 60 is still the starting point for the rally Breaks 70, with support at 66.55, if it holds, it could bounce again But if 64 breaks, then 62 to 60 is the real bottom The key is, $BTC must not break 59,000 If it does, not only $SOL, $ETH will also crash The current issue is, everyone’s watching the rebound, but no one dares to buy the dip Two weeks ago, shorted $ETH near 1600, and still haven’t been squeezed out This is classic: right direction, wrong rhythm, still getting market-tormented My current strategy is just one sentence: Don’t chase longs, don’t panic sell, wait for a dip to key levels, buy in stages at low prices This isn’t guessing the bottom, it’s calculating the odds Earlier, Strategy’s preferred stock STRC dropped to $89, hitting a new IPO low, with a yield of 12.9%, and the company even said selling $BTC could pay dividends for 32 years In the context of Bitcoin at 64,000, this tells the market: institutions have chips, but they’re also doing the math, whether to sell depends on if the price reaches the right level For altcoins and $SOL like these that don’t follow the rally but follow the drop, liquidity will only tighten further, and contract liquidation pressure remains, don’t expect an independent trend now Are you currently holding cash waiting for a dip, or have you already entered? #沃什首秀美联储利率不变 #Gate现货交易量增幅全球第一

June 18 Thursday ETH Afternoon Outlook In the early morning, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, but the overall tone of the press conference was hawkish, lowering expectations for rate cuts this year. U.S. Treasury yields continued to rise, and risk assets collectively came under pressure. Ethereum's daily movement was highly correlated with Bitcoin, with larger volatility than BTC, showing more obvious weakness. On the capital side, Ethereum spot ETF funds continued to flow out, institutional holdings kept reducing, and there was no large on-chain buy-in entering the market. The slight rebound in the afternoon was only a technical correction after being oversold, lacking the capital support to reverse the downward trend. Technically, the daily chart was under pressure from all medium- and long-term moving averages throughout, with a complete bearish structure; the four-hour rebound saw shrinking volume, with weak bullish momentum, and short-term moving averages continued to press down on the price. In the afternoon, the first resistance zone above is 1810-1830, which is the confluence of moving averages at the dip point in the early morning. A rebound to this level will likely see selling pressure release. Below, short-term support is at 1730-1750, with a key defensive level at 1700. If the price breaks below the body, it will open a new downward space, with a target near 1650. Overall, the afternoon market maintained a weak oscillation pattern of rising and falling, with severely insufficient bullish momentum. It is not suitable to blindly buy at low levels. If the rebound hits resistance and stalls, it’s better to consider a pullback. Operate with light positions throughout and avoid the risk of double-sided whipsaws. Trading suggestion: Watch for a rebound at 1770-1790, with a target of 1730. If broken, look for 1700; if not broken, consider $BTC a reversal.