BTC bottom signal appears, but do not rush to buy the dip 1. Key indicator hits bottom: Sharpe ratio drops to -20, all major bottoms in 2015, 2018, 2022 showed similar signals Historical cycle review: 2015 bottom oscillated for 5 months, 2018/2022 bear market bottoms both took about 3 months Signals only indicate entering the bottom zone, not an immediate rally; the bottoming process should not be ignored 2. On-chain chips are rapidly transferring - Accumulated 125k BTC in wallets during early June - Spot reserves on exchanges are continuously flowing out, a total reduction of 80k BTC since February, current stock is 2.71 million BTC - Whales withdrew 11k BTC in a single day, spot chips are steadily moving from exchanges to cold wallets, selling pressure continues to weaken 3. Hidden risks in this rebound logic This round rebounded from the low of 59,130 to 65,800, driven by geopolitical news of the US-Iran agreement, not on-chain funds, so its sustainability is questionable 4. Key points to observe in the future market The Federal Reserve rate decision is the biggest test this week, dot plot expectations, and Powell’s inflation comments will directly determine whether BTC’s short-term rebound can continue Gradually allocate chips in the bottom zone, avoid a full-scale buy-in, and prepare for long-term bottoming and oscillation expectations $ETH Institutions are still waiting to scoop up at the bottom Currently, buying at the bottom requires caution Crude oil CL has already hit this year's new low The market remains pessimistic $HYPE $SOL #TradFiCFD黄金大师赛 #预测世界杯英格兰VS克罗地亚 #Gate现货交易量增幅全球第一

Wednesday, June 17 ETH Afternoon Outlook As of noon on June 17, Ethereum (ETH) has been fluctuating near the key level of $1,800, currently quoted at about $1,794, with a slight rebound of approximately 1.26% over the past 24 hours. From the market perspective, ETH is short-term trading within a narrow range of $1,780-$1,810. During the early hours, it briefly rose above $1,805 but was affected by a large transfer from an institutional custody address (62,414 ETH, about $112 million), which triggered quantitative selling during low liquidity periods, causing a rapid drop to $1,788 within 15 minutes, indicating persistent selling pressure overhead. Technically, ETH remains well below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages (approximately $1,955, $2,117, and $2,377 respectively), and the bearish trend has not yet reversed. The RSI, near 46, has moved away from oversold territory but has not yet turned strong; although the MACD shows signs of rebound, overall it is still suppressed by the moving average system. Trading suggestion: Watch for a rebound between 1750-1770, target 1820, break above then see 1860, if not, reverse $BTC to short.

Water can reach the ocean because it cleverly avoids all obstacles and keeps turning and moving forward. Many smart people fail to find the path to success, often because they hit a wall and refuse to turn back. On the journey of life, difficulties are inevitable; taking a turn, going around—could that not be a solution? If the mountain doesn't move, the road will; if the road doesn't move, people will. As long as your mindset shifts, adversity can become an opportunity. Taking a turn is a way to move forward. $SOL