Wednesday, June 17 SPCX Midday Outlook SPCX briefly surged violently during trading yesterday, reaching $228, then pulled back to hover around $234.80. Short-term technical signals indicate that overbought corrections at high levels are underway, with both bulls and bears engaging in a tug-of-war at key levels. In the short term, the 1-hour RSI previously hit an extreme overbought level of 93.78, then retreated to around 40, now recovered to a neutral position of 51.6. Momentum for chasing the rally has clearly weakened, and profit-taking is exiting the market. Regarding key levels, $201–202 is currently the strongest medium-term dividing line, corresponding to the Fibonacci 0.236 retracement from the IPO’s first-day low to high. Holding this line indicates the upward structure remains intact and is a healthy correction. Resistance above is at $214, which is the upper band of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands. Overall, SPCX is in a short-term correction phase after a rally, with $201–202 being crucial for judging the strength of bulls and bears: Holding this level suggests a healthy correction with potential for a second surge; losing it warrants caution for further support at $193 or even $179. In terms of direction, using the $201 level as a reference for short-term trading is more reliable. Trading range: look for buying opportunities at $200–195, target $215, and if broken, $BTC aim for $230.

June 17, 2026 11:08:45 SOL/USDT Perpetual Contract Technical Analysis Current price: 69.15 USDT, slight decline of 1.8% over 24 hours, high volatility altcoins linked to BTC weakening, yesterday's rebound volume continues to shrink; long-term daily bearish trend remains unchanged, short-term rebound entering exhaustion phase, tonight's Federal Reserve meeting is the key variable, SOL beta coefficient is relatively high, price fluctuations much larger than BTC, mainly range-bound oscillation, pressure to sell on rallies, light positions on dips for low buy-in, strict leverage control to avoid news spikes. 1. Key levels for long and short positions (precise contract ranges) Resistance levels (from near to far) 1. Short-term intra-day first resistance: 71.8–72.8 (4-hour EMA55 + short-term selling pressure zone, critical point for strength/weakness, key rebound hurdle) 2. Mid-term core resistance: 76.5–77.0 (daily MA30 resonance trapped positions, strong resistance zone for this rebound) 3. Trend reversal resistance: 80.8–81.5 (upper boundary of previous oscillation range, volume confirmation needed to ease mid-term bearish structure) 4. Long-term strong resistance: 86–90 (monthly trapped zone, mid-to-long-term bearish reversal confirmation point) Support levels (from near to far) 1. Short-term intra-day support: 67.0–67.5 (hourly oscillation center, intra-day buy zone) 2. Rebound critical support: 63.0–63.5 (starting point of this rebound, a daily close below indicates complete trend reversal) 3. Monthly strong support: 60.0–60.8 (June bottom zone, ultimate defense for bulls) 4. Extreme downside zone: 55–58 (deep correction target, breaking below opens mid-term downtrend channel) 2. Multi-timeframe indicator overview Daily D1 (medium to long-term trend) • RSI(14)=48.7, hovering below the 50 neutral line, not entering strong zone, indicating oversold technical correction, no trend reversal signal • MACD: low-position golden cross below zero line, but red bars continue to narrow, bullish momentum weak, bearish selling pressure gradually returning • Moving averages: price under MA20/MA30/MA200 all below, typical bearish alignment, strong resistance overhead • Volume: shrinking during rebound, on-chain TVL and active addresses declining, no institutional spot funds entering to support 4-hour H4 (core trading cycle for contracts) • RSI dropped from around 60 to near 50, short-term bullish momentum significantly weakened, needs to digest further dips • Bollinger Bands narrowing, price oscillating below middle band, upper band at 72.7, lower at 63.2 • K-line structure: slight higher lows, but lower highs, weak oscillation recovery, no bullish breakout pattern • Contract positions: short squeeze ending, open interest decreasing, bulls and bears converging, awaiting tonight’s Fed news for direction 1-hour H1 (intra-day short-term cycle) Bullish momentum fully exhausted, MACD red bars zeroed out, dual lines forming death cross, candles showing small bearish oscillation, overall intra-day pressure weak, rebounds met with selling pressure. 3. Two possible market path scenarios Path 1: Volume breakout continues rebound (low probability, double confirmation needed) Confirmation: 4-hour close above 72.8 with increasing volume, Fed signals dovish rate cut, BTC also strengthening • First take-profit target: 76.5–77 • Second take-profit target: 80.8–81.5 • Invalid signal: quick fall below 69 after breaking above 72.8, indicating a false breakout Path 2: Under pressure, decline (main intra-day scenario, prior to news, prefer oscillation downward) 1. First support: 67–67.5 (intra-day buy zone) 2. Second support: 63–63.5 (rebound critical support) Break risk: 4-hour close below 63, target directly at 60, extreme scenario down to 55–58 zone 4. Three comprehensive contract trading strategies (long/short/hold) Strategy 1: Short-term low buy (buy on dips only, strictly avoid chasing highs) 1. Entry condition: price dips to 67–67.5, 1-hour candle closes with a bullish reversal, volume contracts and stabilizes 2. Partial profit-taking: TP1 at 71.5 (reduce 50%); TP2 at 72.6 (close all) 3. Stop-loss: 66.2 (below short-term support, invalidates bullish logic) 4. Risk-reward ratio: ≥2:1, do not open if not met Strategy 2: Short-term high sell (sell on rally near resistance, avoid front-running top) 1. Entry condition: price hits 71.8–72.8 resistance, 4-hour candle forms long upper shadow, volume stalls 2. Partial profit-taking: TP1 at 67.2 (reduce 50%); TP2 at 63.3 (close all) 3. Stop-loss: 73.5 (breaks above resistance, invalidates bearish logic) 4. Risk-reward ratio: ≥2:1 Strategy 3: Range-bound hold (prefer before Fed decision) Price remains stuck between 67.5–71.8 with low volume, avoid new positions; during Fed news, reduce positions significantly to avoid high volatility spikes. 5. Mandatory risk control rules for contracts (to be strictly enforced today) 1. Leverage control: intra-day leverage ≤6x, during Fed meeting ≤3x, high volatility SOL strictly prohibits high leverage bets on news 2. Position management: risk per trade no more than 1% of total account funds, diversify positions, avoid full leverage bets on rate decision 3. Stop-loss discipline: set stop-loss at entry, do not manually move stops, do not hold losing positions, do not add to floating losses 4. Trading limit: stop trading after 2 consecutive stop-losses to prevent emotional counter-trend trading 5. Funding rate: monitor positive/negative funding rates overnight, reduce holding costs 6. Key market risk points 1. Macro risk: tonight’s June Fed meeting, SOL beta >1.5, highly sensitive to rate policy; hawkish stance or high rates will cause SOL to fall much more than BTC; only dovish signals can trigger a rebound 2. Linkage risk: fully correlated with BTC, weak BTC leads to amplified SOL declines, no independent movement 3. Capital structure risk: current rebound driven only by short covering, spot funds are scarce, rebound unlikely to sustain, no positive news means quick retracement 4. Contract liquidation risk: SOL daily volatility can reach 6–10%, frequent spikes around Fed meetings, no stop-loss easily triggers chain liquidations 5. Chip pressure: large accumulation of medium to long-term trapped positions between 72–90, without massive capital inflow, difficult to break through once #我的Gate交易时刻 $SOL

Some people are not unmotivated. They review their trades daily, watch news, monitor K-line charts, seriously as if managing a company. In the end, their account tells them: You are just working a job for the market. ‍$GT $ETH $SOL