Daily Morning Forecast｜2026.7.25

Daily Morning Forecast｜2026.07.25 10:03 Yesterday’s Recap Yesterday, BTC failed to reclaim 65,800 and fell below 64,600, then dipped to 63,737. The call to watch for a pullback in the 63,700~64,200 area was partially met; ETH failed to reclaim 1,910, with the low reaching 1,848. After the 1,855 key line was lost, the defense path of approaching 1,825~1,845 was partially met. BTC and ETH are both weak, and altcoins lack broad conditions for a general recovery. The execution rhythm is “don’t chase high, stay defensive.” Today’s overall judgment (as of 10:06 Beijing time): BTC current price is about $64,081, down 1.51% in 24h; range: 63,737~65,808. ETH current price is about $1,861, down 0.63% in 24h; range: 1,848~1,910. Both show some signs of stopping the fall within 1 hour, but they still trade below short-term moving averages. The 4-hour adjustment pressure has not been fully lifted; around important daily moving averages there is still some support/acceptance. Today handle it as weak-range consolidation with support contention. Altcoins mainly focus on defense and staying still, waiting for BTC and ETH to reclaim pressure in sync. BTC BTC current price is about $64,081. In 1 hour, it is below EMA20 around 64,383, the 20-hour MA around 64,425, and the 50-hour MA around 64,945. MACD is still below the zero axis, but the histogram has turned slightly positive, indicating some pickup after the sharp drop—still not enough to confirm a reversal. In 4 hours, it is below EMA20 around 65,010, the 20-period MA around 65,342, and the 50-period MA around 64,931. The negative MACD histogram remains deep, and overhead supply on rebounds is heavier. On the daily chart, it is slightly below EMA20 around 64,296 and the 20-day MA around 64,270, but still above the 50-day MA around 63,222. The daily is near the repair base edge; the weekly has not yet turned strong. Short-term support: 63,700~64,000; strong support: 62,800~63,200. Short-term resistance: 64,400~65,000; strong resistance: 65,400~65,800. Today’s key pivot is 63,700: if it holds and then regains 65,000, there is a chance to retest 65,400~65,800. If it effectively breaks 63,700, then watch for continued pullback toward 62,800~63,200 to find support. In terms of execution, don’t chase the sudden spike up; first wait for support confirmation or a pullback after breaking resistance. ETH ETH current price is about $1,861. In 1 hour, it is below EMA20 around 1,867, the 20-hour MA around 1,868, and the 50-hour MA around 1,886. MACD is still below the zero axis, but the histogram is rising; near 1,848 there is temporary support. In 4 hours, it is below EMA20 around 1,889, the 20-period MA around 1,901, and the 50-hour MA around 1,885. The negative MACD histogram continues, and the structure remains weak. On the daily chart, it is above EMA20 around 1,842, the 20-day MA around 1,842, and the 50-day MA around 1,743. The daily repair foundation has not been broken, but the weekly’s main moving averages still form resistance. Short-term support: 1,845~1,860; strong support: 1,815~1,835. Short-term resistance: 1,885~1,910; strong resistance: 1,930~1,960. Today’s key pivot is 1,845: if it holds and stands back above 1,910, the repair may expand toward 1,930~1,960. If it breaks below 1,845, then be cautious about further pullback toward 1,815~1,835. In execution, first wait for volume-price to stop the fall; don’t chase weak rebound until 1,885 is reclaimed. Today’s altcoin linkage judgment: if BTC holds 63,700 and ETH holds 1,845, altcoins may only then see local stabilization and room for rotation. If BTC reclaims 65,000 and ETH simultaneously stands above 1,910, the repair could potentially spread to more coins. When BTC breaks below 63,700, altcoins should reduce positions first for defensive action. If ETH remains weaker than BTC, the rebound space of high-volatility coins is usually pressured. At present, don’t treat a single-coin sudden surge as a broad market-up start. The public-version execution principle: don’t chase; wait for key support confirmation. If it breaks a pivot, reduce positions for defense. Only after it regains key resistance and gets momentum/volume to back it, then look for the repair to continue. In a weak consolidation phase, reduce frequent trial-and-error. For subscription quick reports or group documents, follow the complete observation of pool levels and single-coin strategies. Risk warning: The above content is only market scenario analysis and does not constitute investment advice. Digital assets are highly volatile; pay attention to position sizing and stop-loss. Market snapshot as of 10:06 Beijing time on July 25, 2026; prices may change afterward.