BTC rises 0.61% in 15 minutes: Iran-U.S. conflict escalation combined with hawkish remarks from the Fed boosts demand for safe-haven assets

Market Analysis Price Volatility Metals Commodities

2026-07-14 22:43:41

BTC4.26%

Between 22:15 and 22:30 UTC on July 14, 2026, BTC rapidly surged within 15 minutes, with a return of +0.61%. The price ranged from 64,538.5 to 65,100.0 USDT, with an amplification of 0.87%. In the past 24 hours, BTC increased by approximately 3.65%, rebounding from a low of $61,883 to around $64,500, in sync with gold, which also strengthened to $4,013 per ounce; market risk-avoidance sentiment clearly intensified.

The main driver behind this unusual movement was the re-escalation of the US-Iran military conflict. The U.S. Central Command completed the latest wave of strikes on Iran’s coastal defense systems, missile and drone bases, and Iran retaliated by attacking oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and U.S. military bases. Trump informed Congress that hostilities with Iran would resume, pledging, “We will hit Iran hard tonight and tomorrow night,” as the maritime blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is set to restart. Brent crude rose to $104.4 per barrel, and the energy supply chain faces severe threats, prompting safe-haven funds to flood into gold and crypto assets.

Second, a tough stance by Fed Chair Warsh on inflation heightened market uncertainty about the interest rate path. Warsh emphasized “zero tolerance for high inflation,” noting that core inflation in June was +2.6% year-over-year, still above the 2% target. As expectations for policy predictability weakened, the narrative that BTC is a hedge against “non-sovereign assets” was reinforced. On the technical side, the 1-hour RSI being overbought, plus a MACD death cross, suggests short-term pullback pressure, while the 4-hour MACD golden cross provides medium-term support; the divergence between bulls and bears is pronounced. Order book data shows a bid-ask depth ratio of 1.53—bids are dominant, but opposing “big wall” orders indicate relatively thin liquidity.

Investors should watch for further developments in the US-Iran conflict and Trump’s remarks during Thursday’s gold session, and be alert to safe-haven risk premiums falling if geopolitical tensions ease. Key resistance levels are $64,958 to the $65,000 psychological mark. The support level is $64,480—if it breaks, this rebound could fail. Investors should closely monitor changes in oil prices, gold, and BTC correlation, as well as the 1-hour RSI overbought recovery.

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