Coinbase Q2 Trading Volume Expected to Fall Below $160B, Prediction Market Shows Only 41% Chance of Exceeding Estimate

COIN2.21%
KALSHI4.78%
According to prediction market platform Kalshi, Coinbase's Q2 trading volume is expected to fall below market consensus, with only a 41% probability of exceeding $160 billion. The odds of surpassing $170 billion are just 25%, below FactSet analysts' estimate of $168.5 billion. However, the probability of trading volume exceeding $150 billion remains high at 99%, suggesting the market expects a floor level to hold. Kalshi's prediction contract will settle based on data from research platform Fiscal.ai, making it a key market gauge ahead of Coinbase's earnings report on July 30.
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