Fed Expected to Hold Rates Through H2 2026 as June CPI Misses Forecasts, Says Kiwoom Securities

According to Kiwoom Securities, on July 17, both headline and core U.S. consumer price index (CPI) for June came in below market expectations. The softer inflation reading has eased pressure on the Federal Reserve to tighten further, suggesting the central bank is likely to hold rates steady in the second half of 2026. Reduced Fed tightening expectations are also expected to limit additional upward pressure on the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields.
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