Fed Rate Hike Probability Remains Low Until October 2026, Says China Citic Securities

According to China Citic Securities, the probability of U.S. Federal Reserve rate hikes in the near term remains low, with market concerns about Fed tightening primarily at the expectation level. CME FedWatch data indicates the market expects the Fed will likely begin raising rates starting in late October 2026. Current global liquidity tightening and market adjustments reflect early reactions to the Fed's fourth-quarter rate hike expectations.
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