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Kalshi Traders Predict U.S. Inflation Could Hit 5% in 2026, Up From 3.8% in April

Prediction Market Macroeconomics

2026-05-13 02:29:26

According to traders on prediction platform Kalshi, U.S. inflation in April reached 3.8%, the fastest pace since May 2023. Kalshi traders predict a nearly 40% probability that inflation will exceed 5% in 2026, and assign roughly two-thirds odds to inflation surpassing 4.5%. This contrasts sharply with FactSet economists, who forecast inflation will peak this quarter at 3.8% and decline to 2.8% by year-end.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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