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Polymarket US-Iran Ceasefire Odds Rise to 59% by July 31, Up 19% in 24 Hours

Prediction Market

2026-07-27 05:00:49

POLYMARKET-1.28%

According to PPP prediction tool monitoring Polymarket on July 27, the probability of an effective ceasefire between the US and Iran by July 31 rose to 59%, up 19% in a single day. The event will settle as "Yes" if the US refrains from direct military strikes on Iranian territory for 14 consecutive days by the deadline; covered actions include airstrikes or ground-to-ground missiles directly launched by the US against Iran.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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