SOL Under Pressure as Bulls Lose Grip Even With ETF and RWA Tailwinds

SOL-6.57%
RWA-3.00%
BTC-3.31%
SPCX-10.35%
  • SOL dropped after Fed policy shock and lost momentum near the $70 support level.

  • ETF inflows and RWA growth failed to offset rising selling pressure and weak derivatives data.

  • Bears dominate structure, with risk of deeper decline if $70 support breaks.

Solana’s SOL slipped fast after a strong early June rally pushed momentum higher. Price climbed from near $62 to $75.60 before reversing sharply. The move caught many traders off guard as selling pressure returned quickly. A drop toward $70.70 followed, with price later stabilizing near $71. Macroeconomic pressure from the Federal Reserve added fuel to the decline. Rate stability and inflation warnings pushed risk appetite lower across crypto markets. SOL now sits at a fragile decision point.

$SOL on the monthly chart is the most oversold it has ever been in history.

But fundamentally, Solana just set a new single-day record for tokenized stock trading in crypto.

Over $140 million was traded in spot yesterday, and 97% of it occurred on Solana, beating every other… pic.twitter.com/lKukNE7QET

— Ash Crypto (@AshCrypto) June 18, 2026

Macro Pressure and Derivatives Shift Weigh on SOL

Federal Reserve policy created a cautious mood across digital assets. Rates stayed unchanged between 3.50% and 3.75%. However, forward guidance hinted at possible tightening in 2026. Traders reduced exposure to high-volatility assets like SOL. Bitcoin also slipped toward $64,000 after the announcement. Altcoins recorded deeper percentage losses across major exchanges. Market sentiment turned defensive within hours of the statement.Derivative data confirmed weakening bullish conviction.

Open Interest dropped from $5.18 billion to $4.85 billion. Long liquidations reached $13.66 million in 24 hours. Short liquidations stayed far lower near $1.80 million. That imbalance showed sellers dominated short-term positioning. Price action also failed to hold earlier support levels. Analysts noted rejection near prior support now acting as resistance. Momentum indicators leaned heavily toward oversold conditions on lower timeframes.

Institutional Demand and On-Chain Growth Fail to Support Price

Institutional flows continue building despite weak market structure. SOL-focused ETFs recorded $2.99 million in daily inflows. Weekly inflows reached $7.11 million across products. Morgan Stanley also submitted an amended S-1 filing for a Solana ETF. The move strengthened the long-term institutional narrative around the asset. Eight consecutive months of inflows highlight steady demand from larger investors. However, price reaction remains muted under broader selling pressure.

On-chain activity shows stronger adoption trends across ecosystems. Solana leads in real-world asset holders with over 285,000 participants. Tokenized assets, including SpaceX-linked instruments, boosted network engagement. A record $140 million in tokenized stock trading also highlighted strong usage. Most activity is processed directly through Solana infrastructure. Despite this growth, futures data signals caution. Open Interest decline suggests reduced speculative confidence.

The technical structure now centers on the $70 support zone. A breakdown below that level exposes $65 to $66 liquidity pockets. Deeper pressure could revisit June lows near $62. Analysts also highlight resistance near $74.80 and $79.30. A clean breakout above the descending trendline remains required for recovery. Until then, sellers maintain short-term control across market structure. Price action continues to reflect hesitation despite strong fundamental signals.

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