CaptainChenOfTheEncryptionTeam

7.26 Morning BTC/ETH 4-hour chart analysis + trading layout
The 4-hour candles have continuously formed small bullish lines. After the prior low point, the price has started a step-like small rebound, which is a consolidation and repair move after a big drop.
The Bollinger Bands remain opening downward; the Bollinger midline keeps moving lower. There is strong resistance overhead. This rebound is only a technical counter-bounce after the selloff and has not fully reversed the bearish trend.
Stage high points: BTC 66284.1, ETH 1940.66
Stage low points: BTC 63666.0, ETH 1846.17
Long/short practi

The most critical part in a contract has never been whether leverage is high or low—it's that iron rule you set yourself, whether you can cut through it cleanly with a single stroke.
First: if you’re wrong, cut immediately. $BTC
Don’t wait for a bounce, and don’t get lucky by holding on a little longer. Once it hits your stop-loss level, raise the hand and drop the blade. If you can’t make this cut, the market will make it for you—only it will cut harder, leaving nothing but bone.
Second: stop after a losing streak.
I set this for myself without negotiation: if I get two trades wrong in a ro

July 25 afternoon: SanDisk quick analysis
Today’s dive champion—down 8.55% in a day; the price plunged from 1591 to 1411, even more thrilling than a roller coaster.
SanDisk’s performance today is relatively weak. From the 1591 high, it has been falling all the way; currently the drawdown is over 9%, and the price is hovering around 1435. Although there was a small rebound in the middle, overall it’s still being held down, indicating that sell-side pressure is strong.
Now the price is close to the recent low of 1411. If this level can’t be defended, it may continue to probe lower; if it c

Many people think derivatives are dangerous. In reality, what’s truly dangerous isn’t leverage—it’s the lack of rules. When many people first touch derivatives, their first reaction is to think it’s gambling, that opening leverage is the same as pushing yourself toward liquidation. But in the end, derivatives only amplify how efficiently you use your capital—it won’t automatically make you money, and it won’t automatically make you lose money. What ultimately determines the outcome is still your position sizing and trading habits. For example, with the same $500 of capital: one person uses low

Newcomers pay tuition to get started
The tuition paid has several takeaways; paying this tuition feels pretty worth it.
First, after a few days of learning on the road from zero basis, the interface functions are now much more familiar.
Second, I learned how to analyze the charts and read the order book.
Here I’ll predict a move for ETH as well, and I hope to run into a big brother who can point me a few tips.
On July 23, it was over 1,940 at the high, then during the evening session it kept getting hammered down to around 1,870.
Most of the people who built positions around the 1,920s were ba

$BTC Yesterday, BTC surged to 65,780 and ETH touched 1,909. In the short term, the rebound repaired the market conditions. However, the momentum for bulls continued to exhaust. When the price reached the one-hour Bollinger upper band, it faced pressure and turned back. It then successively broke below the Bollinger middle band support, with the trend reverting to weakness. BTC’s low probed 63,666, while ETH pulled back to the 1,846 low. Afterwards, there was a small range-bound consolidation at lower levels with a minor recovery. The current rebound strength is weak and is merely a small pull

$ETH Analyze today’s market “bread” trend:
After U.S. stocks opened last night, sentiment was hit by bearish news—market expectations that the Fed will raise rates soon and the impact of geopolitical conflicts—resulting in Ethereum breaking below 1900 and dropping to an 1850 bottom. However, Ethereum has been testing above 1900, which shows that the bulls still have a chance. Even though today is Black Friday trading day and there’s still capital fleeing on-chain, strong ETF inflows and well-funded institutions have been propping up Ethereum. Wait for a suitable pullback opportunity—you can st

July 24 strategy plan — priority order, fan-only
Order of execution
First priority: 1898-1906 rebound short
This is the position I think is most worth waiting for today.
If the price rebounds to here, and if it can’t hold above 1908, both the short win rate and risk-reward ratio are relatively good.
Second priority: after breaking below 1867, short on the retest
If the market keeps weakening, don’t rush to chase after breaking 1867—wait for a retest in the 1867-1870 area. Only short if it doesn’t reclaim.
Third priority: 1888-1893 small pressure—light position short
This area is a bit awkward.

Has the reversal started?
BTC rallied in one go from around 62,800 to 66,924. The momentum can’t be called weak. But after it pushed into the vicinity of 67,000, differences began to emerge.
If it can’t get up, that’s resistance.
Why is 67,000 so critical? This isn’t a normal level. This is an area with heavy trading volume in the early phase—where bulls and bears have repeatedly fought over several rounds. If the price wants to go higher, emotions alone won’t be enough; it needs real money to push it up.
In the previous attempts, price met resistance here. This time, after rising to a higher

Bitcoin/Ethereum have been consolidating at high levels for the past few days. We repeatedly warned about the move to pump and short, as well as adding to shorts. The market then fell all the way to around 64,600 and 1,860, and the overall room is visible. Now the行情 has rebounded somewhat again, and once more provides an opportunity to enter short positions. On the 4-hour chart, recent price action shows range-bound consolidation. The latest candlestick is a bullish one, indicating that short-term buying pressure has strengthened. Yesterday, the daily chart printed a large bearish candle with

Earlier in the day, I recommended entering a long on ETH at 1868 and on SOL at 75.6. So far, during the midday session, it has perfectly reached the first take-profit target.
ETH entry logic: buy the dip on a retracement. As long as 1868-1875 does not break, the short-term bullish structure is intact, with potential profit space of 20-40 points.
SoL entry logic: the entry price is in the dense range around the recent local lows and a support buffer zone. The level also matches the intraday analysis I gave everyone earlier.

U.S. stock gold levels:
Gold short around 4065. First target 15 points lower. If it breaks below 4049, you can add to the position.
Stop-loss at 4085 for short. Short at 4102 too. Shorts are all reduce-then-hold positions.
Go long at 4030, stop-loss at 8 points.
Go long at 4009, target 20 points: long at 3963 target 40 points; long at 3915 target 40 points; long at 3840 hold longer—reduce by 70 points.
These supports are also pressure levels. If price breaks through and can’t rebound back up, you can also short around here. We still look for shorts first.
U.S. stocks and gold move fast—b

🚀 July 24 midday market outlook. 🚀
$BTC Outlook:
BTC is currently moving sideways inside a bullish flag, and the flag with a downward-opening is a bullish flag—don’t mix it up.
The consolidation zone marked in the red box on BTC has already been broken. It fell below the 65,135 support and is now trying to get back above the 65,135 resistance, but judging by the current rebound strength, it’s hard to say it can push through.
BTC must reclaim and trade above the 65,135 resistance to stop the current downward drift. If it breaks the bullish flag and also 65,579, it can turn into an up

BTC is around 65.9 ten thousand u today, and the daily and hourly charts are telling two different stories
On the daily chart, the price is struggling within the 65,488 to 66,527 u range. The MACD is lifting upward, suggesting momentum is building, but on the hourly chart the momentum has already started to exhaust—bulls haven’t yet taken structural control
The daily pivot is at 66,114 u. Above it, there’s still resistance from the upper Bollinger Band at 66,263 u and the hourly 20 MA at 66,145 u. This area is a dense sell-pressure zone, and bulls haven’t cleared it out for now
First, we need

What is the essence of a long-term strategy?
It uses time to buy space, and patience to gain certainty.
You don’t need to catch every fluctuation—you only need to catch that one trend. While others panic inside intraday candles, you stay calm in weekly charts—because your goal is a longer-level sea of stars and endless possibilities.
Why is a long-term strategy a “dimension-reduction strike” against ordinary people?
Short-term trading is a battlefield where smart people compete and fight for scraps; long-term investing is a quiet harbor built on fitted cognition.
· Don’t guess short-term price

After a whole day, the market action was too calm, and the overall market has been in a sideways range-bound consolidation. I watched the charts for a long time but couldn’t make a move, because it was just back and forth within a few hundred points. So this kind of rhythm doesn’t need to be rushed into trading; entering the market is also a kind of torment. Better to calm down and do a proper review of your recent wins and losses.
After a price spike at around 66363 in the early morning and then halting, the market slowly pulled back from midnight to the early morning. Now it’s running near t

$ETH Strong short positions are entering aggressively on ETH!!! 💥💥💥
Brother Liang noticed during the day that on-chain funds on the Ethereum network are continuously flowing out, and bullish momentum is weakening. With the rebound brought about by a large amount of funds returning, the move is basically close to the end—short-side momentum continues to strengthen.
As the situation between Iran and the US keeps escalating, market risk-aversion sentiment is also rising. Oil prices continue to climb, which places some pressure on risk assets. In this environment, it’s not easy for the price t