MelancholyCoin

vip
Active for: 1.4y
Peak Tier 5
No content yet
Ethereum’s 4-hour Bollinger Bands are gradually narrowing, trading volume has continued to shrink in the early session of the day, and market volatility keeps compressing.
1930 is the key short-term long/short strength watershed for this day: if the price holds above this level, the short-term rebound structure can likely continue; if it effectively breaks down below, the market is likely to enter a deeper pullback phase to build up momentum.

The current market lacks incremental capital to drive it higher; without volume, it’s hard to break through the key resistance overhead, and the ri
ETH0.58%
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
S&P kicked $BTC out, and I think it’s a good thing
Lying on the sofa, I scroll on my phone. I saw a piece of news—S&P Dow Jones and Pantera Capital have put together a digital asset index, the kind specifically for institutions.
I stared at it for two rounds to make sure I wasn’t reading it wrong: the index has kicked Bitcoin ($BTC ) out.
It’s not that I don’t respect Bitcoin—it’s that they never planned to include it in the first place. There’s only one entry criterion—you have to have revenue, you have to make money. Not money “made” by speculation, but real money: there are actual users an
BTC0.42%
View Original
  • Reward
  • 1
  • Repost
  • Share
MelancholyCoin:
Previously, institutions that wanted to buy crypto only had a vague “crypto market” to refer to—good and bad projects were all mixed together, so it was impossible to tell who was doing real work and who was just pure speculation. Now S&P has put the measuring stick here, telling everyone: you need revenue, you need to be able to make money, and only then can you get into this basket. Isn’t this essentially forcing project teams to build something genuinely useful?
SpaceX will release its earnings report two weeks later, i.e., on August 4, and then begin unlocking starting August 6.
At that time, the number of shares available for trading will jump by more than three times the current scale.
And it will keep being released linearly, so by the end of the year, the number of tradable shares will be ten times what it is now.
If you’re bullish on Musk, this is the time to buy the dip.
I think you’ll have a chance to buy $SPCX at 80, which would be about the same as my cost for participating in the private placement 😂$SPCX ‌#夏日创作营
SPCX-2.71%
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
🌍 Macro: Risk appetite is rebounding, but the interest-rate side hasn’t eased
Germany’s July ZEW economic sentiment came in at 26.3 (forecast 17.5, prior 10.5), significantly above expectations. Eurozone ZEW rose to 23.4 (prior 9.5) → European stocks closed higher across the board: DAX +0.61%, STOXX 50 +0.90%, FTSE 100 +0.55%. In the UK, the June unemployment rate was 4.4% (prior 4.5%), and public sector net borrowing was £15.99 billion (forecast £18 billion)—both beat expectations.
In the US: ADP weekly employment increased by 16.5 thousand (prior figure revised to 19.25 thousand), and Redbo
BTC0.42%
View Original
  • Reward
  • 4
  • Repost
  • Share
MelancholyCoin:
Trump’s White House statement: the matter with Iran is “far from over,” and “will soon, and very violently, strike the Gozan area,” adding, “Iran hasn’t seen anything yet—we’ve always been very restrained.” The agreement does not allow Iran to acquire nuclear weapons, and the strike will target any locations believed to be used for nuclear weapons. He also, for the first time, admitted that Iran “found a loophole” in Jordan—U.S. troops confirmed last week that 2 soldiers were killed and 4 were taken to hospital. He also said “Iran may try to influence the U.S. midterm elections through the Strait of Hormuz,” politicizing the strait issue, which means it will not easily back down.
View More
BTC has been continuously repairing at low levels in recent days. Near the 66,000 threshold around the early morning hours, it has held steady and is oscillating. The current price is trading in a tug-of-war range of 66,000—66,800. This rebound is mainly driven by short-covering, with buying demand from active buyers remaining weak. The sustainability of the rally is questionable, and bullish confidence has not been fully restored.
The market is waiting for the Fed’s policy meeting at the end of July, with rate-hike expectations repeatedly disrupting risk assets. U.S. Treasury yields and the U
BTC0.42%
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
SK hynix $SKHY today saw South Korean stocks first fall and then rise, and tonight U.S. stocks in the storage sector also started to strengthen across the board.
$MU $WDC $SNDK $STX Full-line recovery; the storage market trend hasn’t ended.
It’s not just a pullback—more importantly, it’s fund follow-through.
AI’s logic has never changed:
No storage, no AI.
HBM, DDR5, and NAND demand is still there; storage remains one of the most certain main storylines in this AI cycle.
There will be volatility, but the trend is still there.
$SKHYV#夏日创作营
SKHYV-0.98%
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Is ETH bullish or bearish?
Current market conditions (2026-07-21, Beijing time, morning)
ETH is trading around $1,899, up slightly 2.08% over the past 24 hours, in a range-bound weak rebound state
- Short-term support: $1,840–$1,860; key resistance: $1,938 (100-day moving average), $2,000 psychological level

- Market features: an ongoing battle among existing capital, weaker than Bitcoin; institutional ETF flows remain in disagreement, with inflows and outflows at times #ETH再现链上安全事件 #ETH突破1900美元 #夏日创作营 $ETH
ETH0.58%
View Original
  • Reward
  • 5
  • Repost
  • Share
MelancholyCoin:
Bear-market bounce, speed back to 🐂
View More
In recent days, the semiconductor and storage sectors have seen a sharp pullback. The sea of green on the screen has kept many friends up all night. A lot of friends have asked me, “Has AI peaked?” “Storage stocks are down so badly—has the logic broken? Should we cut our losses and run?”
First, let me be clear about my judgment: the recent selloff is, in essence, a “washout” after extremely crowded trading, not a collapse of the fundamentals. The market is full of macro negative headlines like South Korea deleveraging, non-farm payroll data, and expectations of rate hikes—but these are just ex
SKHYV-0.98%
View Original
  • Reward
  • 2
  • Repost
  • Share
MelancholyCoin:
The current storage sector has not rotted away at all; instead, thanks to this latest sell-off creating a “pit,” it has fallen into a golden-level value-for-money opportunity. Don’t try to guess where the absolute bottom is—just confirm whether the underlying supply-and-demand contradictions in the industry have been resolved. As long as NVIDIA is still worried about the “memory wall,” and as long as the giants’ AI arms race hasn’t stopped, the vast “stars and seas” of storage will continue to shine ahead of us.
View More
Has Micron $MU stock already dropped to a good entry point? Is it still possible to short it? There’s severe disagreement between bulls and bears!
Let’s first look at MU’s fundamentals support:
Q3 revenue was $41.46 billion, up 346% year over year; gross margin was 84.9%; EPS was $25.11, and all set historical records;
Q4 guidance: revenue of $50 billion, gross margin of 86%, again beating expectations;
For full-year 2026, all HBM production capacity has already been sold out under fixed-price contracts, and 16 strategic customer agreements have locked in about $100 billion in revenue;
$MU ‌
MU-7.07%
View Original
  • Reward
  • 4
  • Repost
  • Share
MelancholyCoin:
DYOR 🤓
View More
BTC 64838 Short-term long complete trade execution plan

1. Precise price levels parameters

Entry: At the current price 64838, go long with a light position on a breakout test
Stop loss: 64500 (a closing breakdown: this round’s breakout long structure fails)
First take profit: 64980 (the first resistance for the short-term; take half off at the halving to lock in profits)
Second take profit: 65250 (exit the whole position; complete this leg of the swing trade)

2. Long core logic

1) Technical analysis: Price increases on strong volume and holds above the upper-middle boundary of the box
BTC0.42%
View Original
  • Reward
  • 3
  • Repost
  • Share
SDyahaya:
let's support each other 💯
View More
ETH 1862 short-term breakout long trade practical plan

I. Entry parameters

Entry: at the current price 1862, take a light position and go long following the trend
Stop-loss: 1833 (if the body closes below key support, the bullish breakout structure for this leg fails)
First take-profit: 1880 (the first resistance level; halve the position to lock in profit)
Second take-profit: 1898 (exit the entire position and complete this short-term swing)

II. Core logic for going long

1、Technical analysis: Price breaks out with increased volume and stands above the previous resistance level 1860; r
ETH0.58%
View Original
  • Reward
  • 10
  • Repost
  • Share
MelancholyCoin:
Steadfast HODL💎
View More
Only 3 orders were made public during the day—3.1 ten-thousand U profit is delivered without fail!
No BTC entry: 64303-63297 racked up 1003 points.
No ETH entry: 1931-1837 racked up 94 points.
No BTC entry: 63798-62832 racked up 966 points.
During the day, all the bearish ideas were fully realized—being able to short is the moment the profit lands in your pocket!
The strategy is self-evident; no funny business—only data-backed results. $BTC $ETH #夏日创作营
BTC0.42%
ETH0.58%
View Original
  • Reward
  • 5
  • Repost
  • Share
MelancholyCoin:
DYOR 🤓
View More
BTC’s price action today fell as expected 📉. For short-term trades, all three orders have taken profit and exited.
You can’t say the level control wasn’t precise.
A 64,000 short to 63,100; a 62,850 long to 63,400. Then flipped and went short at 63,400, short to 63,000—capturing a 1,900-point range.
Many people treat trading like a 100-meter sprint and always want to catch the absolute lowest point and sell at the highest point. But real trading is a marathon; it’s not about who makes more on any one trade, but who lasts longer $BTC $ETH
$BTC ‌#夏日创作营
BTC0.42%
View Original
  • Reward
  • 3
  • Repost
  • Share
MelancholyCoin:
Get on board! 🚗
View More
This is an easy buy decision to make.
The reasons are as follows:
ETH/BTC is currently moving toward its most critical technical level in months.
In the past 30 days, ETH has outperformed BTC by 9.5 percentage points, whereas in the prior six months it lagged by 9.4 percentage points.
The pair is now testing the upper bound of a long-term descending channel. If it can regain 0.030 on a weekly basis, it will signal a major shift in relative strength.
Capital inflows are also improving. After Ethereum ETFs saw net outflows of $530 million in June, they turned back to net inflows in July.
The fun
ETH0.58%
View Original
  • Reward
  • 4
  • Repost
  • Share
MelancholyCoin:
Send it—just do it 👊
View More
$BTC is at a critical decision point, and a turning point is about to come.
Liquidity is pausing on both sides—around roughly 66.5k above the local high/recent high, and around roughly 59.1k below the range low.
Price rejected the recent high during its first attempt, but it has not broken down either.
Before one side is taken in an acceptable way, the market is essentially still in a decision phase.
Two scenarios:
A- Take the high and continue extending upward, toward the 66.5k / BSL direction
B- First sweep the range low around the 60.6k area, then extend upward.
$BTC ‌#夏日创作营
BTC0.42%
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Ethereum (ETH) market overview
1. Key price levels
Resistance: 1980-2000 (core checkpoint; a breakout opens upside room), 2430 as a mid-term target
Support: 1754 (mid-term strong support), 1840 as a short-term pullback setup range
2. Market logic
In this round of rebound, ETH’s rise has significantly outperformed BTC. The ETH/BTC ratio is recovering. Open interest in futures has increased to nearly $20 billion, and short-term bearish pressure is clearly causing a squeeze. L2 ecosystems such as Base and Arbitrum remain active: L2 transaction fees and user counts are steadily growing, alongside
ETH0.58%
View Original
  • Reward
  • 3
  • Repost
  • Share
MelancholyCoin:
Unwavering HODL💎
View More
7.16 ETH
The current stage of 2-Bing’s Bollinger Bands is opening upward, but the upper band has begun to flatten; near-term upward momentum is weakening, and the market has entered a high-level pullback and consolidation phase.
Price has made a new high, but the MACD has not made a new high in sync; the bearish divergence (top divergence) structure has been confirmed, and there is a strong need for a technical pullback.
Good news already priced in + taking profits + confirmation of a technical top divergence + regulatory conditions slightly leaning bearish—multiple factors overlap, and
ETH0.58%
View Original
  • Reward
  • 3
  • Repost
  • Share
MelancholyCoin:
ETH is the strongest. At its lowest, it only pulled back to 1903.37, so the 1904 buy from 0:35 is around the low point. I’m watching that level closely, but you don’t dare to enter—then there’s nothing we can do.
View More
#比特币盘整307天创史上第三长
According to Glassnode’s latest statistics, Bitcoin has been range-bound for 307 days within the $60,000–$70,000 price range, making it the third-longest time Bitcoin has traded in the same range in its history. The top two are, respectively:
2018 bear market: the $10k–$20,000 range (the longest in history). 2022 bear market: the $20,000–$30,000 range (the second-longest in history). 2025–2026: the $60,000–$70,000 range (307 days, the third-longest in history).
What does this mean?
Ongoing turnover of holdings. Long periods of consolidation often indicate that a large number
BTC0.42%
View Original
  • Reward
  • 1
  • Repost
  • Share
MelancholyCoin:
Profit-taking orders and stop-loss orders are released, increasing short-term volatility. Overall, the ultra-long period of sideways trading in itself does not determine direction, but it means Bitcoin is nearing a stage where an important trend choice is about to be made.
---------------
$BTC Right now, I’m only watching one spot: 63.6K!
The US session keeps breaking higher, and the momentum is strong.
Once price holds above it, 70K will open up.
Liquidity below may not get swept.
But if it gets rejected—watch out for a long wick! $SOL #ARB上涨19%
Don’t want to miss this move? Tap the card below and get in. 👇$ETH #GateUS合规扩展佛罗里达
BTC0.43%
SOL0.08%
ARB-1.68%
ETH0.57%
View Original
  • Reward
  • 1
  • Repost
  • Share
MelancholyCoin:
$BTC Now only watching one level: 63.6K!
U.S. session continuously breaks highs, momentum is strong.
Once it holds above, 70K opens up.
Liquidity below may not be swept.
But if rejected, watch out for a long wick!$SOL #ARB up 19%
Don't want to miss this wave, click the card below to get on board 👇$ETH
  • Pinned