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The daily chart turned bullish again, with the price directly breaking through the prior resistance level and setting a new high for this current uptrend.
Don’t panic about the long period of sideways consolidation before—this is all the main force washing the market and accumulating positions before the ramp-up. Once the consolidation ends, the bullish market starts as expected.
The upward trend on the larger timeframe is very clear: the price is steadily climbing along the moving averages, and short-term bullish momentum is continuously strengthening. Now the price has a slight pullback unde

7.20, BTC and ETH daily analysis
BTC is currently ranging and grinding sideways; neither bulls nor bears are making moves, and the overall market is heavily in a wait-and-see mood. ETH is slightly stronger—just marginally outperforming BTC!
If you already have positions, hold your key defense levels. If the level hasn’t broken, don’t rush to make random moves—don’t keep doing whipsaw short-term trades and get beaten up repeatedly!
If you haven’t entered yet, don’t chase just because ETH is up a little. Wait for a pullback, and scale in gradually.
On positioning, prioritize BTC as your ballast

ETH
Earnings from the “big biscuit” following the weaker “big pie,” the full-cycle short trend is clear. In the evening, the key idea is to short based on resistance; at low levels, only use a very small position to snipe short-term rebounds—absolutely no heavy-position bottom-picking!
All 4-hour short-term moving averages are under pressure, with the moving averages arranged in a bearish order. The Bollinger Bands continue to slope downward; 1870 and 1900 form dual resistance. Below, look to support at 1820 and the 1819 low!
On the 1-hour chart, price action is suppressed by the moving averag

BTC
Both the major and minor cycles are weakening in sync, the bearish trend is clearly defined. In the evening, the core approach is to sell short on rallies; any short-term modest rebound is only suitable for an ultra-light position short-term trade—strictly no heavy-position bottom-picking!
On the 4-hour timeframe, the coin price has fallen below all short-term moving averages, and a bearish alignment has taken shape; the Bollinger channel is opening downward, and the price continues to run along the lower band. The heavy pressure zone is 63,800-64,200 above!
The 1-hour moving average conti

The morning already clearly signaled a high-altitude bearish setup! The current market has fully played out!
In the early session, the price pulled back from the high level, opening up a decent downside space. Bearish signals had already appeared overnight; this is not something the trend started showing today. Make sure to handle position sizing properly, set stop-loss strictly, and build your entries in batches following the rhythm—profits will naturally be locked in steadily! #美军结束对伊朗新一轮打击 $ETH ‌

I said this morning that we need to go high, Gāokōng! We need to go high, Gāokōng!!
Has the market already moved? The morning high of 64,000 fell to around 62,600, and it has already opened up more than 1,400 points of “dian space.” And it wasn’t something that started today—last night’s “dian” was already showing too. Plan your positions, keep your defense band tight, move forward step by step, and you’ll naturally steadily reap the rewards! #美军结束对伊朗新一轮打击 $BTC ‌

7.17 Pancake Morning View
All size-cycle moving averages are synchronized and suppressed by the bears. In the early morning, a large drop probed the bottom at 1845 with a small recovery and rebound. Overall, the downward trend has not reversed. The strategy is mainly to sell rallies under resistance in the high area; in the low area, only use a small position to go long briefly to bet on oversold rebound and repair—do not chase longs with heavy positions!
MA5, MA10, and MA20 are all aligned downward with bearish formation. The current price 1867 briefly stands above MA5, but MA10 and MA20 abov

7.17 BTC early-session outlook
The moving averages on the 4-hour and 1-hour cycles are aligned bearishly in sync, with the overall market under pressure and trending downward; at dawn, the dip at 63580 saw a brief rebound, but it’s only an oversold rebound repair. The rebound reaching the moving-average resistance is mainly followed by going short at highs—don’t chase short-term rebound long positions!
In the short term, MA5, MA10, and MA20 are all diverging downward, forming a standard bearish alignment; the current price 63990 continues to face pressure below all moving averages, with the mo

7.16 BTC/ETH evening chart interpretation
Market environment brief
After a round of decline, short-term bearish momentum has weakened significantly. At low levels, capital is stepping in to provide support; panic selling pressure has basically been cleared out. The chart has a need for a corrective rebound.
Currently, the market is filled with a wait-and-see sentiment, with thin trading activity. Main funds are waiting for the U.S. evening market data to land and liquidity to improve before choosing a direction. In the short term, shorts are concentrating on taking profits; buy orders at low l

At 20:30 tonight, three key pieces of US economic data are expected to be released in a concentrated window. The market fluctuations for BTC and ETH will very likely be significantly amplified:
1. Initial jobless claims: If the figure rises, it will be bullish for the crypto market; if it falls, it will tend to pressure the market.
2. Retail sales and the Philadelphia manufacturing data: Strong results will drive the US dollar higher, indirectly pressuring the prices of BTC and ETH.
By 22:00, more data related to housing and inventories will be released, which will further amplify the size of

We’ve been in the market for a full eleven years, and I’ve seen countless people chase pumps, miss the move, and then hold positions through losses—so this morning, first thing, I want to make it clear: chasing breakouts at high levels is absolutely not the way to go!
From the four-hour chart with a long upper wick, and the hourly chart repeatedly surging up and hitting resistance pressure—these signals already show that the bulls’ momentum is no longer there. We then laid out two high-level “pie” scenarios, and the market price action followed our pre-judgment completely!
Take the second “pie

Following the crowd is the norm in the market; luring traders is a disguise for the pump. The best traders don’t connect emotionally with the order book—they walk with discipline. Once the risk is clear, once the pressure level is clearly defined, don’t chase the rally, don’t rely on luck; make decisions with balance—build your approach around a system. Real profit never comes from luck, but from day after day of restraint and persistence!
After the 4-hour chart’s price touches the resistance level, it leaves behind a long upper wick. Profit-taking from the highs causes bullish momentum to slo

We emphasized this long ago—high KONG, high KONG!!!
Big pie and small pie: both corrected down and surged up once, and then started to pull back. Big pie: 652–644; small pie: 1891–1863. They respectively ran out of 800 and 28, launching!
Friends who followed along can manage steadily! #BTC反弹触及65000美元 $BTC ‌$ETH ‌

Morning 🥮 analysis!
After the early-hours BTC surge to 64,950, it stalled and faced sustained upside pressure. Technically, it deviated from the Bollinger middle band, and there is an inherent need for a pullback and repair. In the morning, we provided a bearish idea for the 65,100–65,400 range, with a target of 64,000.
The current market price is gradually falling, trading close to and just below the Bollinger middle band. The 65,130 resistance at the recent high remains firm. The bulls are unable to push higher, and sell pressure continues to be released.
Looking back at yesterday’s full-da

🥮Two🥮 Midday Analysis:
Big cake and small cake rebound slightly: Big cake rebounded from 61854 to 62848, small cake rises from 1751 to 1792, and market sentiment has been restored. The strategy of selling on highs for this morning still holds; keep current positions and wait for confirmation of the market trend!
The chart is locked in a range at high levels. After 4 hours of consecutive gains, the upward push has weakened; on the 1-hour timeframe, the rebound momentum is fading. The upside space for longs is limited—so in the afternoon, the main approach is rebound, then sell at high levels!

7/13 evening:
Judging by the technical structure of BTC, it is still in a buildup-and-consolidation stage at the larger level. On the 4-hour chart, the MACD lines are sticking near the zero axis, the green histogram bars are shortening, indicating that bearish momentum is fading, but the bulls have not kicked in yet. This kind of tug-of-war of “about to break but doesn’t,” is most prone to chasing pumps and killing trades!
Trading advice:
BTC: Go long from 62,000-62,500, target 63,500-64,500
ETH: Go long from 1,750-1,765, target 1,800-1,850#伊朗宣布关闭霍尔木兹海峡 $BTC ‌$ETH ‌

ETH
Follow the Big Pie rally rhythm; in the short term, it has stayed stable above 1,800. It has again attempted to break through 1,850 but failed to do so. It hasn’t been able to hold higher after pushing up. The clear wobble indicates insufficient follow-through—don’t blindly chase longs!
On the four-hour chart, the short-term lead is with the wobble, but as the Bollinger Bands tighten, it hasn’t been able to break out into a further upward move. At the same time, the KDJ’s three lines on the attached chart are turning downward, indicating a need for further extension. In the short run, you

7.13 Monday morning BTC outlook
With clear resistance at higher levels, trade short-term with selling first. During the weekend phase, there has been ongoing narrow-range back-and-forth. Repeated long/short trading in the 63,600-64,500 range—if handled well—also delivers solid results even for short-term trades. Today is the start of a new week—wishing everyone good luck!
Looking at the current situation: after the earlier rebound, it has continued to trade in a high-level range. On multiple occasions in the short term, attempts to break above 64,500 have failed to achieve an effective breakou

Why do I often say that this world is fair—especially for people who trade? Many people don’t buy it. They always think there’s some kind of universal formula in this market, namely the so-called risk-reward ratio. Put more bluntly: lose and take a stop-loss, win and keep holding. And setting aside the question of how long you’re supposed to hold after you win—what about after you take a stop-loss? Does that mean the orders you placed after setting a stop-loss can guarantee profit so you don’t need stop-loss anymore? And if you repeatedly stop out within a very small range, what’s the point of

To keep generating profits in the market, the key lies in sound trading logic, strict risk management of funds, and objective, rational judgment of market conditions.

Hao Kai’s real-account trading guidance is opening for a limited time with 5 scarce spots. A customized trading plan can be tailored for the 3000–50000 capital range. Each day, real-time shares of objective market insights will help you accurately grasp entry and exit timing points, free everyone from emotional trading, break the deadlock of continuous losses, and seize every actionable market opportunity.

Throughout the enti