ConanTrendIsKing

坚定 bearish thesis is in line with expectations—follow up to grab the big meat! 7.25 BTC & ETH midnight playbook
The US-Iran standoff remains deadlocked. Iran has already rejected the US side’s negotiation and ceasefire方案. It also launched multi-wave strikes against bases outside the Middle East. This round of fighting has already pulled multiple countries into it. Now the probability of negotiations is estimated to be the same as the Russia-Ukraine situation—likely to drag on for a long time.
Yesterday’s continued bearish approach met expectations. This round of BTC can push down and take more

Is the “orange hair” chickening out? Short positions are still cashing in big—keep holding! 7.24 BTC & ETH mindset
Iranian and Iraqi officials said that on Thursday, Iran rejected a ceasefire proposal put forward by the U.S. president, a proposal that was relayed to Tehran by Iraq’s prime minister. This attempt at mediation ultimately failed to produce results. Meanwhile, the “orange hair” was threatening to escalate the war and was considering taking action against Iran’s key infrastructure. It’s still unclear what the specific contents of this ceasefire proposal are. However, Iranian officia

They’ve been constantly stressing that there’s no reason to chase too much—only shorting can make money. Even though I entered a bit early, the two accounts went in in batches. Although I was trapped for three days, I still got out and realized it. The one that’s already break-even runs first; for the one entered at the high, set a breakeven stop and be patient—wait for it to drop!

The US’s threat against Iran will only expand the scope of the war, and the daily (chart) doji warns of a shorts pullback! 7.23 BTC and ETH trading ideas
The US-Iran situation continues to escalate, and many countries in the Middle East have been drawn into this conflict. If the US follows through on its threats, Iran will cut off all oil flow in the Gulf region, and strike the region’s oil, natural gas, power, and economic infrastructure. The statement also said that the US’s repeated threats will only cause the war to expand to the region and even beyond. But the coin price just won’t drop—c

The US will impose new tariffs on dozens of countries this week, while Trump downplays the US-Iran talks! 7.22 BTC/ETH trading ideas
With the 10% tariff rate expiring on Friday, US officials have prepared multiple options to allow Trump to roll out new tariffs on dozens of countries. The new tariffs are expected to be roughly equivalent to the current 10% tariffs, but the US government is also pushing forward with other investigations in order to obtain legal authorization to charge the proposed higher tariff rates. Trump said that starting August 1, 2026, all generic drugs imported into the U

🐶Zhuang Tai is too powerful. The current long/short data is too transparent. It’s obviously using funds to push the price up to squeeze shorts, but clearly there’s no reason to be bullish. The shorts are still holding, and they added more—let’s see if you can pump it and liquidate me.

The U.S.-Iran situation hasn’t eased—BTC and ETH are rising strongly without volume. Beware of a short-term short rebound! 7.21 BTC & ETH trading ideas
The situation on both sides of the U.S. and Iran is still escalating, but the coin price is stubbornly strong—yesterday, the short orders entered at the current price were swept while also taking a breakeven stop-loss, hitting take-profit sweep on the way. The short orders that continued entering after midnight are still there—just be patient and wait!
The daily Bollinger Bands are still tightening, but the KDJ indicator on the chart is strong

The US-Iran situation continues to escalate. Wanting to short too much is unrealistic—bold short thinking! 7.20 Big Pancake & Ether strategy
The US and Iran have launched a series of retaliatory attacks with accelerating momentum. In the past two days alone, three US service members have already died. Trump had previously warned that if Iran killed American troops, it would face an even stronger response—now US troops are dying one after another. As both sides escalate their attacks, the situation in the Middle East is once again approaching a dangerous critical point. This kind of contradicti

US-Iran situation escalates, US troop casualties increase; crypto price rebounds—still short! 7.19 BTC & ETH outlook
Two US service members died in a ballistic missile attack launched by Iran on a U.S. Air Force base in Jordan on Saturday, with others injured. The strike marked the first time since fighting resumed two weeks ago that US personnel had been killed. This also brings the number of US servicemen killed in this round of war to 16. It’s reported that on Saturday Iran launched at least two ballistic missiles that hit the Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan. The base hosts US forces and

China keeps acting, Iran may shift into a full-scale offensive phase, and the short positions eat big profits—keep shorting! 7.18 BTC & ETH trading ideas
On the 18th, Iran’s top leader’s adviser Rezaei publicly said that if the US continues launching attacks over the next two or three days, Iran will end its previous deterrence and reciprocal counterattack strategy, moving into a “full-scale offensive and destruction” phase, and may directly strike US overseas military bases and personnel. He said Iran had previously exercised restraint to prevent the conflict from spilling over into the regio

The bearish outlook has been verified, and the entry points are spot on. We’re already up over 2,000 points on BTC, nearly 100 points on ETH—get on board and take the gains. If you’ve already entered, make sure you set a stop-loss with proper risk control. If you haven’t entered yet, wait for the rebound and keep your position ready to ambush!

Some Iranian airports, bridges, and railway hubs were hit by U.S. forces, and the bold empty order eats the meat! 7.17 BTC/ETH trading thoughts
A U.S. attack hit Iran’s southern port city of Bandar Abbas. It is said that the scale of this attack was relatively large, and it has already caused power outages in parts of Bandar Abbas. The target struck in this attack was a communications tower. U.S. aircraft also launched a missile strike at Shaher Airport, located in Iran’s southeastern Sistan and Baluchestan province. It is said that local residents heard three intense explosions near the airpo

The “Dumb King” swings the tariff bat again, and the Houthis have already received a secret order from Iran. Will the “Dumb King” dare to escalate the conflict again?
The “Dumb King” government announced that, starting July 22, it will impose an additional 25% tariff on some imported goods from Brazil, citing that Brazil’s policies harm the competitiveness of U.S. companies and that Brazil has “unfair trade practices.” Brazil strongly retaliated, saying it will take the matter to the WTO and implement reciprocal countermeasures.
Meanwhile, Yemen’s Houthi forces have also received a secret orde

The situation between the U.S. and Iran continues to escalate, and Iran has no intention of negotiating! 7.16 thoughts on big-pie and ETH
After Huangmao listened to multiple rounds of briefings from senior advisers, he is currently leaning toward expanding military actions against Iran, but he has not yet made a final decision. The White House is discussing high-risk plans such as expanding the scope of airstrikes, striking nuclear facilities, and seizing control of key islands in the Strait of Hormuz. Although Huangmao has publicly stated that he hopes to resolve the contradictions between th

The situation between the US and Iran continues to escalate, and “Yellow hair” threatens Iran with strong pressure and refuses to back down! 7.15 BTC & ETH trading thoughts
“Yellow hair” said that on Tuesday, the US and Iran held talks, and the US urged Iran to reach an agreement. He also said he would save attacks on Iran’s energy facilities for last. “Yellow hair” threatened: “Next week, we will destroy Iran’s power plants and destroy their bridges. Unless they return to the negotiating table, we will destroy all their power plants and bridges.” But the coin price couldn’t surge like US stoc

CPI misses expectations, the probability of a rate hike falls—US-Iran tensions escalate; be cautious about chasing higher! 7.14 evening BTC/ETH thoughts
CPI came in below expectations, reducing the probability of a rate hike in July. Internationally, the U.S. military launched airstrikes on Iran for the third consecutive night. Trump previewed that it would strike Iran’s most fortified underground nuclear facility, “G. Mountain,” and at the same time told the media that “a deal is still possible.” The Revolutionary Guards have retaliated against U.S. bases, and the Houthis fired missiles at Sa

The empty (short) setup idea has been verified again—just keep waiting with shorts on the rebound! 7.13 evening strategy
I started emphasizing since last Friday that the rebound is a great opportunity to go short. The short positions entered in batches were confirmed today. BTC can easily take over a thousand-plus points, and ETH can also bank forty to fifty points. However, my first ETH tranche was entered a bit low, with an average price of 1785. Those two weekend days left me trapped a bit, which is annoying, so today I made around a thousand points and took profit first. Once ETH is back t

Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz again—hold your short positions patiently! 7.12 BTC & ETH trading plan
In the early hours of the 12th, the Navy of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced that the Strait of Hormuz will be closed starting immediately, and that no vessels may pass through. The statement said that Iran had previously stated that any actions by foreign forces to interfere in affairs related to the Strait of Hormuz, and any behavior of illegally designating shipping routes, would invite Iran’s “firm and resolute response.” Given that foreign forces’ illegal interference

Did Iran back down? There won’t be much force behind the price rebound—keep shorting instead! July 11 BTC & ETH trading ideas
Senior U.S. officials said that Iranian officials privately told advisers to the Trump administration that Iran’s firing on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz was a “mistake,” and that the incident came from the “hardliners’ wrong factions”—their attempt to sabotage the negotiations. Reports say Iran hopes to continue the talks. The Trump administration also required Iran to publicly declare by Saturday at the latest that the Strait of Hormuz will remain open, a

Worse pushes for “Fed” reform as the situation escalates—be cautious about chasing gains! July 10 BTC and ETH thoughts
Worse has convened Nobel Prize winners, former central bank governors, Walmart’s former CEO, and even top Silicon Valley venture capitalists, forming five “reform assault teams.” The goal is very clear: to overturn most of the operating rules that the Fed has accumulated since the 2008 financial crisis. Worse has said its priorities include: reducing the Fed’s scale of intervention in financial markets, weakening forward guidance on policy paths, and re-evaluating the statisti