Yongle'sNewExpedition

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Age 3.1 Year
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Market follow-up, questions, and consultations. See the pinned content of my only followed account.
🔥BTC Market Brief:
"U.S. CPI data is out, what does it mean that it meets expectations? How will Bitcoin's price move afterward?"
Bitcoin needs CPI data below 4.0% to ease selling pressure. Data at 4.2% not only exceeds 4.0%, but also confirms that inflation has risen for the second consecutive month, reaching a nearly three-year high!!
Therefore, CPI meeting expectations (around 4.2%) is neutral to slightly bearish. I predict Bitcoin's price will first fluctuate and then continue to decline!
Data "meeting expectations" means: the market has already priced in the inflation increase, so there
BTC3.33%
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Bitcoin continues its bearish trend, with the probability of breaking below the 60k level still relatively high. The only variable is tonight's CPI data; if the figure is below 3.8%, a trend reversal may be possible. The current overall downward trend is clear, and various technical indicators further confirm that the decline will continue.
This small rebound is not a trend reversal; caution is advised against false signals. The rebound mainly relies on the historical long orders formed in the 61,616-60,750 range at 9:00 on June 7, which provided support, causing the price to temporarily rise.
BTC3.29%
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Bitcoin's first target has been reached at the 61,100 level, with a maximum gain of 2,700 points so far! Although there was a rebound in the early morning within the small range, the four-hour timeframe remains strongly bearish. Falling below 60,000 again is inevitable #btc
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Currently, the cryptocurrency market is facing a convergence of a series of bearish factors, and there is a high probability that the price will break below the $60k level. The specific analysis is as follows:
1. The order book shows a significant accumulation of sell orders, while buy orders have sharply decreased;
2. ETF funds continue to flow out net, with 14 consecutive trading days of net outflows, totaling approximately $4.4 billion, setting the longest record since the product was launched in January 2024. In the first week of June alone, net outflows exceeded $1.4 billion, indicating t
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Yesterday, Ethereum experienced a short-term rebound, and the bulls began to attempt stabilization and a counterattack.
But from the one-hour timeframe, multiple attempts above 1700 have not stabilized, and this morning it was quickly pressured near 1714 and retreated.
From the four-hour cycle structure, the larger downward channel has not yet been broken, and the overall bearish trend has not been fully reversed.
Additionally, from the short-term rebound structure, there is a certain resistance zone above 1700.
If the price cannot stabilize above this level within the day, this round
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Based on the one-hour Ethereum chart, the price experienced a surge and pullback in the morning but failed to launch another attack above the 1600 level. Instead, the current price has moved to near the middle band of the key support Bollinger Bands. Combined with MACD indicator analysis, it is not difficult to see that a bearish divergence has already appeared. If the price later breaks below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands as support, it is highly likely to give back all of today's gains.
Ethereum reference: short at 1662, target 1592, stop 30#b
btc#eth
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LittleFeiEarnsUEveryDay.:
Steadfast HODL💎
BTC Market Analysis: This morning, Bitcoin's price briefly surged to 64,200 before quickly pulling back, currently around 63,000, having given up most of the intraday gains. The so-called "holding above 64,000" was not achieved, only a short-term spike on the hourly chart, not a valid breakout. Below is a detailed analysis:
1. Core Data Overview:
- ETF Dynamics: Net outflow of $1.72 billion last week, the largest weekly outflow in over a year.
- Key Dates: US CPI data release on June 10; Bank of Japan interest rate decision on June 15-16 (probability of rate hike over 90%).
2. Reasons fo
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Based on the current one-hour level of Ethereum, around the 1503 bottom, a rounded bottom structure has been forming over the weekend. From the short-term MACD indicator, the bullish volume has not decreased. I personally believe this rebound is not yet over, and it will at least go above 1730.
Short-term reference: above 1680, target 1730, stop loss 30 points #btc #eth
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盈利继续玩:
Immediately hit the damage
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【Bitcoin Market Quick Report: Rebound Reaches 62,800, Short Positions Ready to Enter!】
Bitcoin rebounded from 59,000 to 62,800, a gain of about 6.5%. Some are asking: Is the bottom in? Should we chase the rally?
After reading this latest article "60k Bottom vs. Bearish at 30,000: Who Is Lying in Bitcoin’s Bull-Bear Battle?", the conclusion is:
The mid-term logic is playing out: Wave 5 decline, macro bearish signals, liquidity tightening—these factors are gaining momentum over a 6-12 month horizon. ETF outflows continue, MicroStrategy reduces holdings, miners are selling, Japan’s rate hike coun
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IBIT2.65%
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CloseYourEyesAndIt'sEmpty.:
Got it, Ou Bei
Ethereum has recently fallen below 1550 two or three times, but has ultimately held temporarily. Currently, it has reached a very critical 4-hour Bollinger middle band resistance level, after nine consecutive failed tests earlier. Let's see if it can break through and stabilize this time. If it can hold, there is a chance for a rebound; if not, it will continue to retrace.
Ethereum reference: short at 1634, target 1584, with a 30-point stop loss #btc #eth
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Next week's major event is about to land, with President Puda set to begin his visit to China, which could become a key turning point in the US-Iran situation and negotiations.
Before the positive news related to US-Iran negotiations is confirmed, if Bitcoin can hold steady above the 75,300-75,800 support zone, the overall trend has not fully weakened, and there is still room for a rebound and upward movement. If this support level is effectively broken, even with subsequent positive developments in US-Iran negotiations, the market will find it difficult to recover.
This geopolitical positive
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Ethereum scored 60 points, the target was wrong 😅 Careful partners probably all know! Just collect it.
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Yesterday, Ethereum generally maintained a range around 2300, initially staying above 2300.
As the 2300 level was broken, the market experienced a rapid decline to shake out weak hands, and after retracing to a low near 2203 during the session, it gradually stabilized and recovered.
During this process, bullish traders collectively released panic, and a large amount of floating capital was washed out.
Currently, it appears that over the weekend, the market will continue its previous oscillation trend.
This round of decline has already broken the recent upward structure.
From a person
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FourHundred:
Target 2165?
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Ethereum currently, on an hourly basis, has broken below the 2300 level, with the lowest reaching 2233. According to current indicators, the Bollinger Bands' three lines are slanting downward, and the middle band is firmly acting as resistance. The MACD indicator's bearish momentum continues to expand, showing a tendency to continue making new lows. Do not blindly chase the rally.
Ethereum: Short at 2245, target 2185. Defensive 30 points #BTC #ETH
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The most important support for Bitcoin's decline last night is the already stabilized upper region of 80,080-79,800.
This area has been tested nine times within ten days, repeatedly breaking above and falling below, but the price has never left this zone, indicating very active turnover and making it a relatively strong support and resistance zone.
The first target for the rally is 81,400-82,470, which has been tested three times and currently remains the highest untested short-term stop-loss point.
If the oscillation and turnover here are completed, the price will stay above 82,000, mak
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ETH early morning price retreated to around 2255, but then the market quickly recovered. Currently, on the hourly chart, the price has broken through the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and has once again moved around 2300. According to indicators, the MACD bullish momentum continues to expand, and combined with liquidation data, the chip accumulation area above 2350 is evident. Therefore, in the short term, once a rebound begins, it will be quite strong, at least breaking through the chip area above 2350. After that, it will start accelerating to test the upper edge of the large triangle n
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Yesterday's announced CPI exceeded expectations, causing a decline in the US stock market, and the crypto market dropped even more sharply.
ETH share 2330 short position currently taking profit in the 70-point range! Patience in holding will eventually pay off!
Currently, the recent trend has been fluctuating narrowly between 2200-2450 for the past month.
Once it effectively breaks below this range, it will lead to a significant decline.
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Bitcoin's current key resistance level is around 83.2k yuan. At this point, it’s no longer just an ordinary resistance level; it’s more like the "graduation exam" for this round of rebound channel. Previously, BTC climbed slowly along the upward channel from the 60k yuan area after a sharp decline. Although there was some hesitation in the middle, the overall structure is quite healthy. The lows are continuously rising, and the highs are gradually moving upward, indicating that funds haven't truly exited but are repeatedly rotating within the consolidation. Especially recently, the price has b
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Sunday's pump is really rare. Ethereum directly liquidated the short positions around 2380 in the early morning. This move was entirely to clear the liquidity above and caused the price to rise. Now the price has returned to the support around 2320. I think the overall market is a classic trap to lure buyers, and the ultimate trend is definitely downward! Currently, if the four-hour chart breaks below the middle band support, this retracement will likely accelerate again.
Ethereum reference: Short at 2330, target 2260, stop 35 points #BTC #ETH
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AJ2025:
You can see 2174 directly
Ethereum small-level currently shows signs of bottoming out, with a W-shaped bottom pattern. Continuous consolidation around 2315 indicates that buying pressure is still quite strong. I personally think there will be a short-term rebound. The resistance line above is focused on the 2280–2400 range. In the short term, we should watch for a rebound trend.
Ethereum: long at 2330, target 2430, stop loss 41 points
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