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Geopolitical tensions are easing, and BTC is waiting for further volume breakout.
The US and Iran are expected to be the first to finalize the memorandum of understanding, with Pakistan acting as the external spokesperson, and both parties do not need to attend the negotiations in person. Subsequently, both sides will negotiate around the official final agreement, with a new round of talks tentatively scheduled to start on June 5th. The market remains cautiously optimistic about the prospects of these peace talks, as the easing of geopolitical tensions brings a turning point, directly affectin

Bitcoin and Iran will reach a negotiation agreement, explosive start on Monday
The market rebounded strongly, returning near the 77,000 level, with Ethereum rising in sync to around 2,120, and the trend once again pulling back into the core oscillation zone during the week. This powerful volume-driven deep V reversal is definitely a move by the main players taking advantage of the endless news flow over the weekend to exert effort, thoroughly completing a wave of chip clearing and exchange. We precisely grasp the rhythm of market fluctuations, riding the rebound wave to maximize operation gain

The market keeps tugging back and forth between bulls and bears, and BTC bulls are waiting patiently for favorable news to trigger a move!
At the moment, the market is caught in a standoff between bulls and bears, with prices oscillating repeatedly. The favorable support conditions at this stage are clear: international oil prices have been gradually falling from high levels, and market worries about malignant inflation have eased accordingly; after the U.S. Dollar Index touched a six-week high, its rally has stalled and it has turned to downward pressure; the U.S. Treasury yields that previou

BTC is in a very weak market, the direction will be determined after the European session!
To be honest, currently Bitcoin is generally in a weak downward trend, unable to hold above the 78,000 level on Monday, and on Tuesday it experienced another decline, with the weak trend continuing. Overall, this round of BTC decline is mainly driven by tightening market expectations, geopolitical tensions fueling inflation, and the continued strength of the US dollar—all three factors working together. In the short term, as long as oil prices stay high and US bond yields remain volatile at high levels,

Last night, the market officially finalized the timing: the new Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will be sworn in this Friday, with Donald Trump personally presiding over the inauguration ceremony, during which the work will be handed over and he will officially assume office.
  This also means that from Monday to Thursday this week, the market will anticipate Powell’s inauguration, and the recent slight increase in institutional holdings is a signal of early positioning, with funds already beginning to pre-embed bullish trends.
Yesterday, a long position was taken around 76,120; today’

$BTC U.S. stocks remain strong with a high open in the evening
Bitcoin then fluctuated up and down.
Current price around 76,800, go long directly
Add positions at 75,800
Defense at 75,400
Target 78 break to see 79,400$ETH ‌ ‌$BTC #加密市场下跌15万人爆仓 ‌

It’s still the same market. I started setting up long positions around 78 near 81,000 last Friday. I thought this whole script through carefully and waited right here—eventually, I did wait for it. The space above around 806 opened up; last night they directly opened the floodgates, and the drop took price down to around 776. The long positions directly connected into it. The best thing now is to wait—everything will be proven by time. $BTC ‌$ETH ‌#比特币V型反转

Federal Reserve policy has changed, and Bitcoin is under serious short-term pressure!
Recently, market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy have undergone significant changes, further increasing the pressure on Bitcoin's correction.
As is well known, the ongoing geopolitical conflict in the Middle East continues to intensify, constantly pushing energy prices higher. Driven by this, the US April PPI producer price index and CPI consumer price index have both shown noticeable rebounds. Currently, the market's previously expected Fed rate cut has basically cooled down completely

Yesterday, Trump was back on the talk show stage, and sure enough, last night Trump "won big again," boasting about how he was winning in every aspect. In fact, everyone knows deep down that the more someone emphasizes something, the more they lack it.
At the same time, last night at 8:30 PM, he was wildly shouting, saying "Iran must reach an agreement immediately, or prepare for a bigger bombing," and claimed that more military equipment was already prepared. The show looked quite fierce! But what happened? Just this morning at 4 AM (which is Tuesday in U.S. time), he announced the extension

Pay close attention over today and tomorrow—there’s a high chance the crypto market will see a trend reversal!
From a fundamental perspective, tonight Federal Reserve Chair candidate Waller will face a hearing, and tomorrow the US-Iran ceasefire agreement will officially expire. The two major events coming one after another will directly influence global financial markets and can trigger volatility in price action at any time.
The US-Iran two-week ceasefire agreement runs out on the 22nd! Previously, in the first round of talks earlier this month in Islamabad, they simply failed to reach any r

Trump and Iran both announced a ceasefire, opening the Strait of Hormuz, with crude oil dropping 10%. Gold continues to edge higher, hovering around 4900, while the big coin surged strongly to above 78.
But over the weekend, Iran changed its mind and continued to block the Strait of Hormuz. Everything before that was fake news. The coin price continued to fall sharply, returning to the level near Friday’s starting rebound point.
You could say that the real driver of the ups and downs is “Old Trump.”
From the 1-hour K-line, after the price pushed up, there was a clear pullback. During the secon

Geopolitical risks intensify, coupled with renewed expectations of interest rate cuts.
Buy orders swarm in, pushing the coin price straight up, completing a shocking reversal?
Rebounding from the dip, strongly breaking through, as the ranging pattern collapses—are the bulls likely to make a comeback?
Last night, Bitcoin pumped a bit higher in advance, taking a short at the current price around 77700; currently the market has moved down to around 763.
Does this round of topping-out end here?
Wait for a break below 76; if it consolidates sideways below 76, go short boldly $BTC ‌

Bitcoin current price 7770 short position, 786 add to short, target 768 break to look at 758. Defensive 78900$BTC

What major event has happened?
Bitcoin surged, while Ethereum's price action remains stagnant, is it holding back for a big move?
The European market opened with Bitcoin directly showing a strong bullish rally. It seems many are about to start saying the bull is returning quickly.
During midday, the price was around 747, with a rebound to about 763 for a short sell. Now the highest rebound reached near 76350, another divine-level prediction, just hitting the ambush point and then starting a waterfall decline to around 754, with a 900-point drop easily achieved.
Now, looking at the 4-hour chart

The US and Iran are expected to resume talks, with Bitcoin maintaining resilience and fluctuating.
The Middle East conflict is likely to ease, as Israel has agreed to a 10-day temporary ceasefire with Lebanon, and Trump also mentioned that the US and Iran might have another round of talks this weekend. The market is also becoming optimistic, so recent market volatility hasn't been significant; whether it's Bitcoin or gold, they are oscillating within their reasonable ranges.
But it's important to note that if negotiations go awry again, a rebound in oil prices could trigger inflation concerns,

The market is waiting for news to settle, is Bitcoin looking for a clear direction?
News of the US and Iran heading toward negotiations is spreading more and more, and everyone's risk aversion has eased; the Federal Reserve has also signaled a hawkish stance, meaning high interest rates may need to stay for a while longer.
Where will the price go in the future? It all depends on two things: first, what kind of deal can US and Iran negotiate; second, the US inflation situation and the Federal Reserve's policy direction.
Yesterday, Bitcoin was expected to rebound from around 732, with the lowest

The Iran–US are expected to return to the negotiating table, and the big picture is temporarily showing strength
After the Iran–US negotiations broke down, the United States imposed a maritime blockade on Iranian ports, which had once raised market risk sentiment.
But the market quickly brought new updates: the Iran–US negotiation teams, over the next two days this week, are expected to return once again to the negotiating table in Islamabad, and U.S. President Trump also said he was “very hopeful that a peace agreement can be reached.” This eased market tension quite a bit.
Yesterday, before

Yesterday's fundamentals: U.S. Vice Minister Vance stated in an interview with Fox News that the U.S. has made significant progress in negotiations with Iran. When asked if there would be more negotiations, Vance said the ball is in Tehran's court. He added that the U.S. expects Iran to make progress in opening the Strait of Hormuz and warned that if Tehran does not do so, the negotiation situation will change. The news of the second round of talks also helped the market, which had collapsed after the first round over the weekend, return to normal.
Here are two viewpoints.
1. The contest over

Surprised or not, unexpected or not—the Iran-U.S. negotiations have ended. Big rally then a big drop. Crude oil surges violently.
The first formal round of talks between the U.S. and Iran over the weekend ended in a way that, basically, achieved no meaningful progress. The main disputes were still over who would control the Strait of Hormuz and over uranium enrichment research—these are the requirements insisted on by the U.S. This also touched Iran’s bottom line, so the first round of talks ended unhappily. However, both sides also left open the possibility of further negotiations. At the sam

Teasing the little black fans—step out and laugh out loud.
The weekend ceasefire negotiations have been temporarily concluded; up to now, there has been no substantive progress, and the timing of the next round of talks is still to be confirmed.
Instead, at times like this, a situation tends to happen: good news doesn’t carry on, but turns into bad news.
$BTC 735 Empty at the top of the frontline mountain; after breaking below 715, continue looking down at 709
The rebound continues to wane. $BTC $ETH