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7.26 Morning BTC/ETH 4-hour Chart Analysis + Trade Setup
The 4-hour market has continuously closed with small bullish candles. After the prior local low, the price has started a step-like, modest rebound, which falls under a consolidation-and-repair phase following a big drop. The Bollinger Bands are still opening downward; the Bollinger midline continues to move lower, and there is strong resistance above. This rebound is only a technical pullback after the selloff and has not fully reversed the broader bearish trend.
Stage high: BTC 66284.1, ETH 1940.66
Stage low: BTC 63666.0, ETH 1846.17

Has the reversal started?
Bitcoin surged from around 62,800 to 66,924 in one go—the momentum can’t be called weak. But after it pushed toward 67,000, differences began to show.
If it can’t go up, that’s the pressure.
Why is 67,000 so critical? This isn’t a normal level. This is a previously high-activity trading zone where both bulls and bears have been tearing at each other for several rounds. If the price wants to keep moving higher, you can’t rely on sentiment alone—you need real money to shove it up.
After several earlier tests here, it was met with resistance as well. Following this break

In the past few days, Bitcoin/Ethereum have been ranging at high levels. We repeatedly warned about the pump-and-dump shorts and added shorts. The market then fell all the way down to around 64,600 and 1,860, and the overall space is visible. Now the market has rebounded somewhat again, and this also provides another opportunity to open short positions. The 4-hour chart shows that recent price action has been range-bound. The latest K-line is a bullish candle, indicating strengthening short-term buying pressure. On the daily chart, yesterday formed a large bearish candle with a long lower wick

After a whole day, the market action is too quiet. Overall it’s mostly range-bound and consolidating. I watched the chart for a long time, but couldn’t make a move, because it was just back and forth within a few hundred points. So this kind of rhythm doesn’t need to be rushed into trading. Entering the market is also a torment—better to calm down and do a proper review of your recent wins and losses.
After midnight, the price surge to the 66363 area hit a ceiling and then stopped. From midnight into the early morning it gradually pulled back, and now it’s running near the 66000 level.
Ethereu

7.22 Midday Thoughts
We are currently in the Fed’s quiet period from 7.18 to 7.30. All officials are keeping silent, and the market can only rely on US stock earnings reports to determine its own direction. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury is rising to 4.64%. Middle East geopolitical tensions are pushing crude oil prices higher. Concerns about inflation in the energy sector are resurfacing, causing the market to delay expectations for Fed rate cuts. A prolonged high-interest-rate environment continues to weigh on the valuation of non-yielding “big pie” assets. The conditions for a one-way,

On Tuesday, July 21, in the final week of this month, compared with the beginning of the month—did you have a pretty good haul? At least, the brothers who are keeping up with the top-tier peaks have all doubled, right!
Let’s see how today’s moves play out. In the news cycle, the geopolitical situation keeps flipping and stirring the market: rumors of a ceasefire in Iran were quickly followed by confirmation of a pullback, oil prices rebounded again, and inflation worries are heating up once more.
The Fed’s policy expectations are cautious, and in the short term there’s no clear bullish or bear

The overnight market moved out a round of one-way rally. At this stage, it is consolidating in a high-range area. The concentrated bullish force that was released has gradually begun to run out; prices have repeatedly fought at the resistance level, and the long-versus-short game has intensified. The market is about to make a short-term directional decision.
This rapid surge has already exhausted a large amount of incremental buy pressure. The market is stalling, and technical indicators are showing divergence. Upward momentum continues to weaken, and there is a risk of bull trap in the high z

7.18 Big Pie (Cake) Trading Plan

Regulatory bill advancement and spot ETF fund inflows provide medium-to-long-term support. In the short term, derivatives expiries and the Fed’s slightly hawkish sentiment cause volatility. The drop on Friday was only long-position profit-taking, with no concentrated liquidation by shorts; strong willingness to replenish funds. Market liquidity expectations should improve in the second half of the year.

The daily chart is consolidating to build momentum. The 4-hour upward channel remains intact, with rising accompanied by increased volume and falling with r

7.16 Awei midday market analysis and trading ideas
On the daily timeframe, the bullish structure remains intact, and the overall trend is still upward. On the four-hour timeframe, the step-like advance continues; after each pullback, capital can quickly take over, indicating that the bulls still firmly hold the initiative. Although short-term indicators show signs of being overbought, the preference is to relieve pressure through pullback-based corrections rather than directly flipping to short.
In terms of execution, continue to look for long entries on pullbacks and trade in line with the tr