锦晨趋势猎手

vip
Market Analyst
Futures Trading Strategist
Crypto Market Researcher
Everywhere is Jincheng Trend Hunter! With over ten years of dedicated effort, having experienced years of market fluctuations, skilled in short-term and medium-to-long-term strategies.
Gold Outlook for Next Week (Overall)
**News:**
First: The situation in the Middle East has been one fight after another; safe-haven demand has only shown up briefly, and it can’t support a broad bullish run.
Second: The Fed’s high interest rates for the rest of the year are basically locked in; with rate-hike expectations hanging overhead, it’s hard for a non-yielding asset like gold to make a sustained, continuous surge.
So everyone should not go long blindly. Without a super heavyweight positive catalyst, the big trend reversal can’t happen. In the short term, all rallies are just for correc
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7.23 evening trading thoughts
Tonight’s top priority: the US weekly initial jobless claims data
The Fed is in a quiet period right now, and officials are not allowed to speak. This employment data will directly affect the market’s expectations for rate cuts.
If the number of unemployed people is higher than expected, it indicates employment is weakening. The market will expect rate cuts, which is bullish for risk assets like big pie (BTC);
If the number of unemployed people is lower than expected, employment remains strong. Rate-cut expectations will be pushed back. The US dollar and US Treasu
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Permit2Detective:
You’re right—short-term positives have already been digested, and chasing more at high levels isn’t really cost-effective. This pullback is likely just a brief, short-lived rebound.
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In the evening, focus on the U.S. weekly initial jobless claims data!
The strength or weakness of employment directly drives expectations for rate cuts, impacting the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasuries. After the data is released, BTC volatility will increase—watch out for quick wick spikes; wait for the data to land, then move in line with the trend, set your stop-losses, and stay on top of risk control!
$BTC $ETH #Gate事件合约首发狂欢
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StableDiver:
Waiting for the data—then the needle is inserted and it’s connected.
7.23 Midday Trading Plan
Yesterday, thanks to the positive news that the U.S. CLARITY crypto bill reached an ethical consensus, the “big pie” surged and its momentum quickly stalled after briefly touching 66,900. All the funds that made short-term profits cashed out and ran. At midday, the current action is getting stuck around 65,900, oscillating back and forth near the entry level.
This rally was entirely driven by news sentiment. The order-book volume simply did not expand—there was no real increase in trading volume. Big off-exchange funds did not step in to absorb the sell pressure, makin
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RevokePro:
Is it too early to suggest shorting? It already touched 66,900—shorting again around the pullback to about 64,000 would be safer, right?
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How do US stock market gains and losses affect Asian markets?
Many people have a misconception: if US stocks fall, then the next day Asia must also fall.
In reality, it’s not that simple—a pure “follow suit” relationship.
When US stocks decline, the real core impact on the global market is not that “the price went down,”
but that it causes the entire set of market variables to be repriced.
Let me break down the most real, most fundamental transmission logic for everyone:
1、Interest rate expectations are rewritten, and global assets are repriced
If US stocks are falling because US economic data
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CycleBuffer:
It’s been analyzed too clearly. I used to always think that a drop in U.S. stocks is a negative signal, but it turns out you still need to consider whether it’s driven by sentiment or fundamentals—this distinction is crucial.
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7.23 Morning Trading Plan
Yesterday, driven by the positive news from the U.S. crypto bill that got settled, BTC surged and tested 66,900, but then lost momentum and couldn’t push higher. Many funds that made short-term profits went straight away to lock in gains and left the market, and now price is stuck around 66,000, oscillating back and forth.
This rally is purely sentiment driven by news. The order book volume simply didn’t keep up, and no large out-of-market capital has stepped in. After the hype from the positive news runs its course, the upward push directly lacks fuel. The only good
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IntradayWanderer:
Bro, your analysis is spot on. Once the “good news” has fully played out, it turns into a bearish signal—because “good news already priced in” usually means upside is exhausted and downside comes next. As for BTC around 66,000, this level has been repeatedly shaking traders. Personally, I think we should first look at support at 64,500—if it can’t break, then consider going long. For those with short positions, set your take-profit orders—don’t be greedy.
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7.23 early morning thoughts
Last night, the upside came from the positive news that the U.S. CLARITY Crypto Bill reached consensus between two parties on ethical provisions. The BTC surged and touched the 66,900 zone, then short-term profits were quickly consolidated and realized. In the early hours, it has been fluctuating in a narrow range around 66,300.
This rally was driven purely by regulatory sentiment speculation. The spot market trading volume did not see a synchronized surge, and no new off-exchange incremental inflow entered the market. This is a typical “good-news pulse” momentum—af
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SatoshiShadow:
Actually, that rally last night was pretty strong, but unfortunately the volume can’t keep up. It looks like the market is still short of liquidity, and the short-term shorting idea is fine.
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Systematic Trade Opportunity Identification Process
I. Draw Trend Lines to Set the Direction
First, draw the trend lines to clearly see at a glance whether the current market is trending up, down, or ranging.
Lock in the bigger direction first; don’t trade against the trend. Following the trend is the first step toward stable profitability.
II. Find Support and Resistance Zones
Precisely identify the key resistance and support ranges on the chart.
Don’t chase breakouts or guess the market. Be patient and wait for the price to break out, then confirm with a pullback. Eliminate false breakouts a
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FlashNinja:
Closing the loop is crucial. I’ve seen too many people lose everything because of emotional trading—plan your trades, trade your plan. Let’s encourage each other.
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Market movements never rely on guesswork; instead, they make an integrated judgment based on information and technical analysis. The midday approach has once again been successfully put into practice ✅$BTC $ETH #GUSD年化升至3.8%
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锦晨趋势猎手
7.22 Midday Thoughts
We are currently in the Federal Reserve’s blackout period from 7.18 to 7.30. All officials have gone silent, and the market can only set its direction based on U.S. stock earnings reports. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury has risen to 4.64%. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have pushed up crude oil prices, bringing fresh worries about energy-driven inflation. The market has postponed expectations for the Fed to cut rates. In a high-interest-rate environment for the long term, valuations for the non-yield “big flatbread” remain suppressed. Conditions for a one-way rally still are not in place.
When the “big flatbread” rebounds near 67,000-67,500, short there, targeting 65,600-65,100.
When the “second flatbread” rebounds near 1,960-2,000, short there, targeting 1,900-1,860.
$BTC $ETH #事件合约上线
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MEVArchaeologist:
This midday trading approach is too brilliant—both the news and the technicals provide dual confirmation. The timing is nailed perfectly. Keep sticking to the strategy!
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Others chase the spike and get liquidated into zero; I rely on discipline with small funds to roll into a comeback.
When I first entered, I was exactly like most retail traders: watching altcoins and MEME coins surge in a straight line made me jealous, and when the community’s big bosses called out buy signals, I followed them with a full position. I kept thinking I could double in one go and get rich overnight.
With 1,200 USDT as my capital, I followed the crowd and chased hot spots, going all-in at the local high. As soon as the market pulled back slightly, I panicked so badly my hands were
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SeedPhrasePoet:
I admire your self-discipline—this move is indeed solid. Discipline matters more than anything.
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7.22 evening outlook
The White House and Senate Republican Party have thoroughly resolved the biggest point of disagreement on the bill—an ethical restriction clause on conflicts of interest involving encrypted assets held by public officials. The new full bill text is about to be released to the public. The House of Representatives has already passed it with a large majority. At this stage, the only remaining step is to win over 7 Democratic senators to reach the Senate’s 60-vote threshold. Before the Senate recess on August 7, this is the sole legislative window.
Once the bill takes effect,
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MemeMath:
Everyone is saying that the good news landing is a negative, but the real good news is medium- to long-term capital entering—wait patiently for the pullback to come in properly.
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7.22 BTC全天核心消息面汇总
1. Regulatory core positives (the main catalyst behind this round of spike)
The US CLARITY crypto market structure bill (CLARITY Act) has made a breakthrough. The White House and the Senate Republican Party have completely agreed on a clause covering ethical conflicts of interest for public officials regarding crypto assets, resolving the bill’s biggest deadlock point. The latest full bill text is about to be released to the public.
1. The House of Representatives previously passed it with a high vote of 294:134. At this stage, only 7 Democratic lawmakers are needed to secure
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LayerZeroZero:
A short-term surge is mainly driven by news stimulation; if the funds don’t follow, the probability of a pullback is high—try a short position with a light position size.
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7.22 Midday Thoughts
We are currently in the Federal Reserve’s blackout period from 7.18 to 7.30. All officials have gone silent, and the market can only set its direction based on U.S. stock earnings reports. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury has risen to 4.64%. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have pushed up crude oil prices, bringing fresh worries about energy-driven inflation. The market has postponed expectations for the Fed to cut rates. In a high-interest-rate environment for the long term, valuations for the non-yield “big flatbread” remain suppressed. Conditions for a one
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BTCLayFlat:
This rebound isn’t very strong. The $67,000 pressure level for BTC is clearly evident. The short-term short-position idea is fine—wait for a pullback and confirmation before considering adding to the position.
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I. Major regulatory catalyst: top-tier positive news (this round’s early-morning surge directly triggered)
The White House and the Senate Republican Party have officially reached cross-party consensus on the ethical-conflict-of-interest provisions in the “CLARITY Crypto Market Structure Act,” completely clearing the biggest obstacle to rolling out the bill. Earlier negotiation deadlock focused on restricting federal public officials from profiting from holding crypto assets during their tenures. Now the differences have been resolved; the full revised bill text is about to be made public.
1. T
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FundingFisher:
The sustainability of the policy-driven rally remains in doubt. After all, ETF inflows are only $700 million; compared with the previous $8 billion redeemed back, it’s hardly enough. Plus, U.S. Treasury yields are still at 4.6%, oil prices have risen again, and macro pressure hasn’t been lifted. The short-term idea of buying the high ground isn’t wrong.
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7.22 Morning View
On the daily timeframe, it relies on short-term moving averages to maintain a rebound upward structure, but the dense volume-pressure zone above 66,800-67,250 is firmly locking the upside range; the early-morning breakdown point at 66,600 has already formed a short-term suppression. On the 4-hour chart, the rebound attempt produced a long upper wick; the momentum has begun to dull. On the hourly indicators, the market has entered an overbought pullback phase, and intraday is tilted toward ranging to digest the upside move.
The key support below is concentrated in the 65,000-6
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MemeAlchemist:
After peaking and then dipping back in the early morning, the hourly chart has become dull/flat. During the day, it will likely trade sideways as it digests. The “扁担箜单” setup—be sure to take profit; don’t hold out for a full position.
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7.22 early-morning thoughts
In the early hours, bipartisan consensus was reached in the US via the White House ethics clause under the “CLARITY Crypto Bill,” which proved bullish and provided a quick stimulus. BTC surged strongly in the short term; after probing the 66,600 US dollar stage top point, headroom momentum quickly weakened. A large number of short-term profits piled up and were realized and closed, followed by a slight pullback. In the early morning, it consolidated in a narrow range around $65,900.
The key driver of this upswing is a policy-bullish sentiment premium, not an influx
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Newcomer:
Your analysis is spot-on. The rally driven by policy tailwinds is definitely prone to pull back, because there’s no new capital coming in. I’ve taken the BTC 672–677 short setup I mentioned earlier; I’ll also try a short in the ETH 1960–2000 range—please make sure to set a proper stop loss. Thanks!
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Jinchen’s evening “present case.”
Now just do the kong.
Insurance 66700, do the kong!
$BTC $ETH #ETH突破1900美元
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BitcoinMaxi:
The air force muster horn has sounded—set your stop loss at the 66,700 level and buy (go along with it) immediately.
In just 4 days, the number of investors entering and exiting Nasdaq index DCA collapsed by 17.75%, exposing the most painful truth behind DCA
On July 16, the number of investors in China participating in Nasdaq index DCA was 1,875,093;
by July 20, just a few days later, the participation count had directly fallen to 1,542,277.
In those four days alone, the number of people exiting decreased by 332,816, for an overall decline of 17.75%.
The most worth pondering point is this: during this period, the Nasdaq did not experience a systemic crash. It was neither a deep selloff of valuations like in
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RiskBudgetCPA:
The data is too real; even though they say they’ll hold long term, once the market shakes, they all run.
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7.21 evening trading ideas
During the day, the big BTC futures opened strong and surged to 65,799 USD, refreshing the intraday high and marking the highest point in nearly a month. Then, gains were held back by a rebound in international crude oil and a slight rise in U.S. Treasury yields. Headline momentum quickly faded, followed by a mild pullback. In the evening, it has been hovering in a narrow range around 65,000 USD, oscillating back and forth.
The key features of this rebound are: mainly technical repair, with a severe lack of incremental capital. The upside momentum is mainly driven by
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DealDealer:
Following the plan, the short positions are already placed—just wait to see which way the market turns in the early morning.
7.21 daily full-day thoughts
SOL
After SOL started a counter-offense from the low point 73.320, SOL formed a standard N-shaped upward repair structure. The short-term rally’s choppy-headed phase completed a partial offensive, but once price climbed to the 78.00–79.00 USD prior densely traded chip zone, the upward momentum was directly suppressed. The rally fizzled repeatedly and stalled, and it has been unable to break through that resistance zone with volume.
On the one-hour timeframe, the moving-average choppy-head arrangement has shown signs of dulling. The counter-offense process did not s
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DogeEvangelist:
This rebound volume can’t really keep up; the 78–79 resistance zone is heavy. However, the risk-reward ratio on the dip-buying from the left side is still fine—suggest trying with a light position to test.
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