LuYong

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#夏日创作营 In the near term, Ethereum (ETH) price action is under pressure and tends to be weak, oscillating around $1,850-$1,900, but there are clear disagreements between bulls and bears, and the medium-term direction remains unclear.
📉 Why is it under pressure in the short term?
Mainly driven by the macro environment and its own technical resistance:
· Macro headwinds: The Middle East situation pushes up oil prices, reigniting inflation worries and concerns about the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes, weighing on risk assets including crypto.
· Key resistance: ETH has repeatedly been blocked at $1
ETH0.79%
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#夏日创作营 Based on current market information, next week’s A-shares are likely to continue a “bottoming with choppy consolidation” pattern: near-term pressure remains, but downside room is limited. Different views diverge on both the timing and intensity of any rebound.
🧭 Market’s core contradiction: interwoven long and short factors
⚠️ Short-term pressure (main bearish)
· Liquidity shock: On Monday (July 27), Changxin Technology’s listing will occur with a huge fund-raising scale, and the market worries about a short-term “blood-draining effect.”
· Sentiment and trading volume: On Friday (July
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LuYong:
Changelight this round is said to have won more bids than usual. How it opens still needs to be watched, and predictions from professional institutions are relatively optimistic.
#Gate事件合约首发狂欢 Gate launched a brand-new event contract product on July 21, and simultaneously kicked off a launch celebration competition with a total prize pool of $50,000.
This product is very different from traditional contracts. Its core features are as follows:
🎯 Product Core Features
· Ultra-simple gameplay: You only need to judge whether BTC or ETH will go up or down within 5 minutes, 15 minutes, 1 hour, or 4 hours. No leverage adjustment or margin posting is required.
· Low entry, no liquidation risk: You can participate with as little as 1.5 USDT. Since it does not use leverage, t
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#直通IPO第二期JerseyMikes Gate exchange’s “IPO direct access” second-phase project Jersey Mike's (stock code: JMKE) opened for intent subscription on July 27, 2026. Following SpaceX, Gate is again opening a U.S. stock IPO subscription channel to ordinary users.
⏰ Key timing and thresholds
· Subscription period: July 27, 2026 10:00 to July 29, 2026 10:00 (UTC+8). The earlier you subscribe, the higher the allocation weight.
· Reference price: $21–$25 per share.
· Minimum investment: 100 USDT or 100 GUSD, maximum 500,000; no additional fees.
📝 Key rules at a glance
· About “intent subscription”: thi
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#夏日创作营 To understand the logic of how Simons makes money, remember one line: he never predicts the future—he only looks for mathematically “statistical certainty.”
Unlike Buffett’s “buy and hold,” Simons’ profit model can be broken down into these four steps:
· Step 1: Ditch intuition—only trust data. The people he hires are not finance elites, but top mathematicians, physicists, and cryptographers. Their job isn’t to study company financial statements, but to mine short-lived patterns that are statistically significant and repeatable from decades of historical data (such as prices, trading vo
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LuYong:
They say that value investing and holding long-term makes money. But this kind of high-frequency trading also makes money; when you do what they tell you to do, you’ll end up losing money 😂
#夏日创作营 Bitcoin’s price today (July 23) has fallen slightly and is currently hovering around $65,800. The 24-hour drop is about 0.8%. The price in RMB is about 322,060 yuan.
The specific data is as follows:
· 24-hour decline: about 0.7% - 0.8%.
· Trading and liquidations: In the past 24 hours, total liquidations across the entire network were about $161 million, with both long and short liquidations occurring. Of that, Bitcoin accounted for about $27.46 million.
Several key signals in the market are worth watching:
· Capital inflows and concerns: U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded net inflows
BTC-0.97%
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LuYong:
It seems the market has entered a self-correction phase—some say a rally is brewing, while others say it will range-trade and move sideways. So which way will it go?
#夏日创作营 This question hits many retail investors right in the core of their pain, and it truly touches on the deeper suffering of investing in A-shares. Your feeling of “there’s nowhere left to fall” is based on judgments of valuation and fundamentals, but the market is still falling because something has gone wrong on the trading and sentiment side.
Simply put: you’re looking at “value,” while the market is falling due to “liquidity” and the “gap in expectations.” The具体 reasons break down as follows:
· The cruelty of the “final leg down” (forced selling): When the stock price breaks through c
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LuYong:
It’s the same not just for A-shares; in the crypto space too, it feels like there’s nowhere left to fall, and it could still drop another 90%.
#ETH突破1900美元 Regarding Ethereum’s outlook after breaking above $1,900, there is a clear split in current market views: one side believes this is the rebound starting point backed by strong fundamentals, while the other warns that the overall downward trend has not changed. Your question time (July 21, 2026) happens to fall right at a critical juncture, because just yesterday (July 20), ETH’s opening price was $1,871, still slightly below $1,900, indicating intense price tug-of-war around this level.
📊 Bullish vs. bearish logic, in-depth comparison
📈 Bullish camp: Fundamental support, target
ETH0.79%
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LuYong:
When it was at around 4,900, I felt it would go to 8,000; now that it’s fallen so much, even breaking 1,900 makes me so excited I can’t stop—Ethereum, 🤔
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#夏日创作营 Based on the latest data (as of July 20), Bitcoin is consolidating at high levels today, with a relatively high probability of a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. It is not extending the “downtrend,” but instead probing key resistance.
The assessment is as follows:
· 📊 Current situation: The price is between 64,200 and 64,000, but there is not enough appetite to chase. The level above 65,500** is the first major pressure point.
· ⚔️ Bull/bear playbook:
· Bullish scenario: If it can** break out on increased volume through the $67,000-$68,000 range**.
· Bearish/range scenario: If
BTC0.43%
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ybaser:
2026 GOGOGO 👊
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#夏日创作营 Ethereum’s price action today (July 19) is expected to be mainly range-bound with a slight bullish bias. It is currently consolidating around $1,860. Short-term momentum has improved, but overhead resistance is obvious, and bulls and bears are fiercely competing around key levels.
Key points:
· Macroeconomics and catch-up logic: The US core CPI has cooled, and the probability the market assigns to a July rate hike has sharply dropped to about 10%, which is supportive of risk assets. At the same time, the ETH/BTC ratio remains at a low level, suggesting a desire for a catch-up move. Hist
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ybaser:
To The Moon 🌕
#夏日创作营 Today (July 19), the expected BTC trend is mainly high-range consolidation, with a slightly bullish bias, but geopolitical risk remains the biggest uncertainty variable.
Currently, Bitcoin is consolidating in the 64,800 range, up about 1%-2% over the past 24 hours. Bullish reasons and risk factors coexist; the key points are as follows:
· Macro support: U.S. core CPI cools, and the market’s probability of a rate hike in July drops sharply from 46.5% to around 10%. Stable interest rates are generally positive for risk assets; some analysts believe that if it breaks through resistance, i
BTC0.43%
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ybaser:
2026 GOGOGO 👊
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#夏日创作营 Based on the latest market data (as of July 18, 2026), Bitcoin is currently trading in a consolidation phase near a key support level, with overall sentiment remaining cautious.
📊 Live market data
· Price: around $63,000 - $64,000, down about 1.7% over the past 24 hours.
· Market cap: around $1.28 trillion.
· Market sentiment: the Fear and Greed Index is 27, in the “Fear” range.
📈 Key influencing factors
· Macro pressure (main driver in the short term): the price drop is mainly driven by external macro shocks (such as global chip stocks being sold off and geopolitical tensions), rath
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LuYong:
It has already dropped to this level. Every time it fluctuates, I think it will go back up, but it seems like it’s the same every time.
#夏日创作营 Today (July 17, 2026), the A-share market indeed saw a broad sell-off in which more than 5,000 individual stocks declined across the board. The Shanghai Composite Index fell below 3,800 points, while the ChiNext Index and the STAR 50 Index saw declines of more than 7%. Behind this was a stampede triggered by the accumulation of multiple negative factors. The core reasons are as follows:
🎯 Main spark: Global tech stocks “deleveraging” trigger the stampede
This is the most direct shock, with overseas market liquidity stress transmitting to A-shares.
· Korea sparked it: The Bank of Korea
SK Hynix-8.33%
TSM-2.86%
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#台积电Q2净利暴增77.4% TSMC’s 2026 second-quarter performance is indeed very impressive. Net profit reached 706.6 billion New Taiwan dollars (about $220 billion), up 77.4% year over year and hitting a record high. This is mainly due to “extremely strong” demand for AI chips, which directly boosted capacity for its advanced process nodes.
Key data summary (2026 Q2):
· Revenue: 1.27 trillion New Taiwan dollars (about $402 billion), up 36% year over year, reaching the upper end of guidance.
· Gross margin: 67.7%, above market expectations, also a new record high.
· Process mix: Advanced process nod
TSM-2.86%
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LuYong:
Why is it always them who make money, while we little green onions can’t even get a taste of soup?
#夏日创作营 If I only have $100, I wouldn’t go looking for the next “100x coin.” I would buy all of it into Bitcoin (BTC) or Ethereum (ETH), treat that $100 as already spent, and then hold long term.
This choice is mainly based on three considerations:
· Survive first, then talk about making money: the crypto market is extremely risky. Just in Q1 2025 alone, there were 1.8 million crypto projects that collapsed. As a beginner, using a small amount of money to gamble on low-cap altcoins will most likely mean paying tuition. BTC and ETH, on the other hand, have been running for more than ten years an
BTC0.43%
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#夏日创作营 Regarding today’s Bitcoin price action, the overall market is in a neutral-to-bearish choppy range with no clear direction. Multiple information sources point to short-term downside risks, but there are also some potential support factors.
📊 Current market status
· Price and sentiment: Bitcoin is trading around $64,500, down about 0.2% over the past 24 hours. After rebounding to its intra-year low, momentum appears slightly weak.
· Technical signals: A “death cross” has formed (the 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day moving average), suggesting a weaker medium-term trend;
BTC0.43%
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LuYong:
Bitcoin sometimes follows the U.S. stock market, and sometimes it doesn’t. I think that if it does follow it, it won’t follow it; and if it doesn’t follow it, it will follow it.
#预测世界杯阿根廷VS英格兰 Ahead of this highly anticipated World Cup semifinal, the pre-match picture is already fairly clear:
· Match type: 2026 US-Canada-Mexico World Cup semifinal; the winner advances to the final.
· Match time: 3:00 a.m. Beijing time on July 16 (Thursday), in Atlanta, USA.
· Historical context: This is the sixth World Cup meeting between the two teams. Previously, England held the edge with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, but in the knockout stages Argentina (1986, 1998) has had the advantage.
Key focus areas and pre-match outlook:
· England: a youth storm vs defensive vulnerabilitie
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LuYong:
At this point in the World Cup, it’s hard to predict the score using a star-studded lineup—so it comes down to how they perform in the moment.
#LAB两日腰斩53% The “it feels like it has to go to zero” vibe is indeed something many people are worried about right now. LAB has just gone through an epic-level crash, and today (July 14) also happens to coincide with a new round of token unlocks—downward-pressure risks still haven’t been resolved.
Let me lay out the two most dangerous points right now:
· Terrifying drawdown: LAB has plunged from its historical high (about $16–$27). Its drop over the past 7 days is as high as 97.6%. It’s currently trading at roughly $0.3777. Its market cap has also shrunk from a peak of $4.7B to about $122 milli
LAB-3.04%
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LuYong:
Projects with heavy market manipulation are like this—no one knows how high it will rise, and no one knows how low it will fall. Maybe the dog-dealer knows 😄
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