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I’d remain very cautious trading $BTC and $ALTS at current levels.
Price action continues to look heavily supported, almost as if market makers are attempting to sustain price long enough to build upside liquidity only to eventually take that liquidity and rotate price lower.
Given the broader macro environment, midterms, and ongoing bear market conditions, I currently struggle to see a convincing scenario where price reclaims the 200 MA and sustains a meaningful move higher.
We’re now trading just above a critical support level while already sitting below the monthly open. Under normal market

If you like intraday trading I certainly recommend implementing TPOs into your system.
I posted a video about them on my YouTube. Check it out. 😊

I do believe $BTC and $ALTS want to squeeze higher but whilst we’re under 80.4k the bears are still in control.
Right now we are seeing a struggle in price to get back above the POC and the 12/21 EMA which has now crossed over flipping back bearish.
First step for bulls to regain control would be acceptance back above 78.4k then for full control above the 200 MA.
#btc

$BTC - Key supports not offering much ‘support’. What is happening now does not look good. We are now falling into the previous value area, acceptance back inside here then 60k’s will be inevitable and with the pace we are currently selling, it will come quick. POC around 66.9k.
As you can see this is a big value area that we formed after the last major impulsive move down where we put in the 59.9k low. The only hope for bulls now is that price fails to gain acceptance back inside and we begin trading back above the VAH swiftly. Else the next hope for bulls will be the daily 100 MA currently a

$NEAR is a solid example of how you can still make money in spot / long positions during bear markets. Personally I wouldn’t chase this here though, I’d assume majority of the move is already done.
To squeeze a little more upside from here and to look for profit zones I would look around 2.37- 2.615.
However if $BTC does decide to take out its daily 200 MA for whatever reason then that will change my thesis for Near.

$BTC - no rush for any trades here. You can look for longs if we regain acceptance back above the POC / H4 200 EMA / MA and the SR level, all clustered around 77.9k-78.4k. For shorts I’d be looking a loss of the monthly open / Monday low / VAL.

$ETH desperately trying not to find acceptance back inside its Value Area, because once it does, 1.9k will come quickly after.
I will be paying plenty of attention to price action here monitoring whether or not the VAH holds.
Good short opportunities if it falls back inside.

📚 $BTC
What do you notice here compared to my Friday chart? VAL moved lower .. POC sitting where the VAL was a couple days ago ..
Lower VAL = the market’s entire “fair value” range has shifted lower, showing participants are now accepting significantly lower prices.
POC sitting below the prior day’s VAL signals strong seller control, with the highest volume trading occurring at the lowest edge of the previous balance.

I’m getting early 2025 vibes where everyone started buying the first big drop into support of the year for it to just continue downwards.
$BTC is at a crucial level now.

$BTC
Showing plenty of weakness since that rejection from the daily 200 ema and 200 moving average.
However, we do have some levels aligning together here on the H4. The 200 ema and 200 moving average (h4) lining up perfectly with the value area lows currently around 77.8/9k.
So, if we are going to look for some signs of relief for #btc and the crypto market in general, I would look around those levels.

$BTC
Where is price heading next?
BTC is currently compressed between two key levels that will likely determine the next major move.
Keeping it simple:
-The Daily 200 EMA and MA remain strong resistance.
-The Daily 21 EMA and HTF S/R level are the key support areas protecting BTC from further downside.
Bullish continuation becomes more likely if price can reclaim the EMA and MA and gain acceptance above the current 82k region.
On the other hand, losing the 78.4k–79k range and gaining acceptance below it would likely confirm this as a higher time frame lower high, continuing bearish market str

$BTC
Price needs to hold 80.3k (Prev Vah / Monday low)
Acceptance back inside the below value area then 78k/79k more than likely comes shortly after. 77.6k (POC) also a likely downside target if we find ourselves trading back inside the VA.
#btc

$BTC
Price yet again showing signs of weakness and slow down in momentum around the Daily 200 EMA and MA.
To be fully convinced this whole move isn’t over I’d like to see a a successful retest of that higher time frame SR level / Daily 21 EMA before another push up to the EMA and MA.
If price can reclaim and gain acceptance above, that’s a long trigger and probable confluence of continuation towards the Yearly Open.
#btc

$SOL
Having another attempt at breaking out above the value area high. Holding other key levels as well including the Daily 12/21 EMA and 50/100 MA.
I would look at 96/97 being the next area of resistance if we get acceptance above the value area.
Price has spend 90 days inside this range since the last impulsive move down and low in February.

$BTC What next?
Despite the rejection at the Daily 200 EMA a scenario we discussed as a possibility, price is continuing to hold structure well on the H4 timeframe. The 21 EMA level is currently being respected as support, alongside the Monday high.
Key levels of interest if the EMA bands and Monday high fail to hold:
79.3k — Previous H4 VAH
78.4k — Higher Timeframe S/R Level
#btc

$BTC
I’ve remained open to price trading towards the Daily 200 EMA, and potentially the Yearly Open. However, this does not alter my broader directional bias.
Higher timeframes (Daily, Weekly, Monthly) continues to suggest this is a bear market rally rather than a confirmed reversal.
For that to change, I would need to see clear acceptance above the Monthly 12/21 EMAs.
HTF Plan:
• Exercise caution at the Daily 200 EMA
• Acceptance above then I’m open to continuation towards the Yearly Open
• Rejection then likely formation of a lower high
Bull case: If we see a successful retest and hold of t