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1. Market Overview: Surge then Retreat, Loses $64,000
On July 25, Bitcoin saw a sharp surge and retreat. Early Friday morning, BTC briefly climbed to $65,705, but soon faced heavy sell pressure. Within seven hours, it slid to an intraday low of $63,666. The market cap evaporated by more than $20 million. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is temporarily around $63,878, with a daily decline of about 0.30%.
This drop triggered large-scale leverage position liquidations—across the whole market, $312 million in leveraged positions were liquidated, including $70 million liquidated from Bitcoin long

Bitcoin/Ethereum Trading Strategy With Market Analysis
In the past few days, Bitcoin/Ethereum have been moving sideways near the highs. We repeatedly reminded you about the strategy of going long-term short after pumping and adding to short positions. The price then kept falling all the way to around 64,600 for Bitcoin and around 1,860 for Ethereum, showing that the overall range remains visible. Currently, the market has bounced again, and it also provides another chance to enter short positions. The 4-hour chart shows recent range-bound consolidation. The latest candlestick is a bullish cand

Tesla’s earnings report came out, and its after-hours stock price immediately dropped by more than 5%, dragging the crypto market to take a cold breath too. Although “Old Ma” didn’t sell a single Bitcoin this time, the $112 million in holdings impairment provision still poured a bucket of cold water on the hot market. BTC instantly lost its momentum to push higher, and could only keep oscillating around the $66,000 level; short-term sentiment clearly turned cooler.
But if you look closely at the order book, the in-market show isn’t over yet. This pullback looks more like the main funds are cir

US-Iran tensions escalating could only expand the war's scope; on the daily chart, the doji cross star warns shorts of a pullback risk! 7.23 BTC & ETH outlook
The US-Iran situation continues to escalate, and many countries in the Middle East have been drawn into this conflict. If the US follows through on its threats, Iran will cut off all oil flows in the Gulf region and strike the region's oil, natural gas, power, and economic infrastructure. The statement also said that the US's repeated threats will only cause the war to expand within the region and even beyond. But the coin price just w

#ETH突破1900美元 Still holding the same bearish view: the current downward trend cannot be changed. Be sure to give up fantasies—don’t get pulled into a trap. If BTC pumps and only reaches 68.0 to 71.0k, it’s going to plunge into the abyss. A bear market is a bear market—don’t cling to luck. Only when both time and price are in sync will the market reverse. Believe in the market maker’s ruthlessness—believe in the market’s bloody reality.

Hyperliquid said HIP-4 (Outcome Markets) will first be deployed on the testnet in the upcoming upgrade, and ultimately support permissionless deployment. Deployers must stake 500k HYPE and may be penalized or have funds confiscated if the market definition is unclear or settlement is incorrect. Validators will determine standardized market templates via voting; deployers can create prediction markets based on the templates and set a fee split of up to 50%. The official said the number of events that prediction markets can trade far exceeds spot and perpetual contracts, and is an important dire

Good morning, everyone. A new week is starting.
First, let’s see what market news from the weekend to today is worth paying attention to.
The situation in the Middle East is still the biggest variable in the current market. Tensions between the United States and Iran have not eased, US military actions against Iran are still ongoing, and the security issues in the Strait of Hormuz continue to tug at global markets. Geopolitical risk has yet to cool down, which keeps risk-off sentiment elevated; safe-haven assets such as gold and crude oil are drawing attention, while risk assets like US stocks

#BTC On a lower timeframe there’s a divergence; you could try entering a short position 🈳
The pressure level above is 65,300. If it can’t effectively break through and hold here, then the bigger trend still needs to play out as a pullback within the range/channel.
It’s just that the move from last night to this morning is a bit strange.
For the medium term, I still look for the channel’s midline around 60,800.

July 17 Trading Log (11:30 AM)
1. US tech stocks bleed badly: falling doesn’t look any more “kind” than the crypto market!
Last night’s sell-off in US tech stocks and semiconductor stocks was truly no better than the crypto market—so much so that it makes people draw in a cold breath.
I originally thought the crypto roller coaster was already exciting enough, but over there in the US, when they smash the market, it’s equally ruthless. A drop of a dozen-plus percentage points in a single day is nothing unusual. In particular, those AI and semiconductor giants that were flying high before—SanD

Technical Outlook: BTC Reclaims the Short-Term Moving Averages (EMA), but Main Resistance Still Limits a Broader Trend
After Bitcoin attempts to defend the $63,300–$64,200 demand zone, it is looking to extend its rebound. Price has reclaimed the 20 EMA and 50 EMA, while the RSI has returned to above the neutral 50 level, reflecting improving bullish momentum. However, BTC is still trading below the 100 EMA and 200 EMA, which means that despite the recent rebound, the higher-timeframe trend remains bearish.
📈 EMA Structure (Short-Term Bullish Rebound Recovery)
20 EMA: $63,367
50 EMA: $65,079
1

In the crypto market, the real way to compound is often very simple
Many people ask me: Is there a simple, repeatable method that can truly build up an account?
Honestly, the method isn’t fancy at all—it's even kind of dumb.
After 8 years of climbing through the crypto trenches, stepping into every trap—liquidation, over-centring positions, messy trading—what’s left is this simplest trend-following approach.
Friends who execute it gradually build their small accounts, not on luck, but on fixed discipline.
Today, with no reservations, I’m sharing this hands-on process with everyone:
Step 1: Loo

Technical Outlook: BTC Reclaims the 20-Day EMA, but Higher-Timeframe Resistance Still Limits Further Continuation
After defending the $61,650–$62,100 demand zone, Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery. Price has reclaimed the 20 EMA and is consolidating above the short-term support area; meanwhile, the RSI has risen to near neutral levels, suggesting bullish momentum is improving. However, BTC is still trading below the 50 EMA, 100 EMA, and 200 EMA, meaning that despite this rally easing bearish conditions, the broader trend remains bearish overall.
📈 EMA Structure (Short-Term Rebound Within a

Iran shuts the Strait of Hormuz again—hold spot shorts patiently! 7.12 BTC/ETH trade ideas
The Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy announced in the early hours of the 12th that the Strait of Hormuz will be closed immediately, and no ships may pass. The statement said that, following the Iranian side’s prior notice, any actions by foreign forces to interfere in affairs of the Strait of Hormuz and illegally designate shipping routes will be met by Iran with a “firm and resolute response.” Given the unsafe situation caused by foreign forces’ illegal interference, the Strait of Hormuz w

Dogecoin and Bitcoin’s market conditions are both currently very clear: Dogecoin is moving in a large-scale triangular consolidation, while Bitcoin is forming an inverse head-and-shoulders bottom pattern.
At the large scale, the trend is bearish; at the short-term scale, the trend is bullish. Still, I lean more toward going long. I believe the market has already bottomed out and is now in a reversal phase. Dogecoin and Bitcoin have both reached large-scale upward trend support lines from the past four years, and both have shown a response—so I conclude that this current bear market has already

$ETH ‌$SOL ‌
**Market-wide crash analysis: triggers + current actionable strategies, explained in one article**
1. First, break down the core triggers of this collective plunge: renewed tension and escalation in the US-Iran situation, a sharp surge in international crude oil prices, directly dragging US stocks and the cryptocurrency market into a synchronized decline. However, there is no need to panic over this drop—we had already taken profits and exited at the top earlier. Many are now most concerned: can we bottom-fish in the current market?
2. Clear conclusion: yes, you can bottom-f

In the past couple of days, Bitcoin's volatile back-and-forth wash trading has repeatedly tossed around almost everyone in the market, fully confirming the old saying that wash trading is frequent during bear markets. Institutions are using wide-range fluctuations to continuously wash out retail investors' positions. Those who cannot hold their positions easily stop-loss and cut losses repeatedly amid the ups and downs.
On the spot level, there's no need to panic excessively. The area around 60000 is a highly cost-effective zone for positioning. Don't insist on waiting for the perfect lowest p

Yesterday's market experienced a pattern of initial decline followed by recovery. After dropping to the 62000 level, it quickly rebounded, forming a V-shaped reversal pattern. The daily chart recorded six consecutive bullish candles, and overall market sentiment clearly improved.
The weekly chart closed with a small bullish candle with a lower wick, indicating that the medium to long term market has stopped falling and stabilized.
Switching to the 4-hour cycle, the deep V-shaped rebound was accompanied by increased volume, with major funds entering to accumulate positions. The Bollinger Bands

7.5 Bitcoin Trend Analysis: Bitcoin and Ethereum are simultaneously in the b-wave rebound phase, with the upper target around 69.7k. Currently facing resistance at 64k, a pullback is expected, so we need to patiently wait for a low long opportunity (Bitcoin contract trading).

BTC spot price is around $62,600 (+1.7%), ETH around $1,755 (+2.8%). U.S. stock markets are closed for Independence Day and weekend liquidity is relatively thin—watch out for price spikes caused by thin liquidity. U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs ended a 10-day net outflow streak, with a single-day net inflow of about $220 million, led by Fidelity. The EU’s MiCA regulation fully took effect on July 1, requiring unlicensed exchanges to exit the EU market. The U.S. “Digital Asset Market Structure Bill” has cleared the Senate and is awaiting a House vote. The SEC issued a Wells Notice to Uniswap, signaling

What’s Next for ETH
I. Overall Trend Judgment
1. Large Cycle (Daily): The mid-term bearish channel remains unbroken, and the ETH/BTC ratio continues to weaken. Capital is flowing toward BTC as a safe haven first. Ethereum’s rebounds are mostly technical repairs, with no bullish reversal signals.
2. Short Term (4H): A slight rebound occurred after an oversold condition, but the rebound volume remains insufficient, with dense selling pressure above. The trend is entirely correlated with BTC—if BTC weakens, ETH’s decline amplifies.
3. Two Scenarios:
- Bearish Baseline: The rebound faces resistanc