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Federal Reserve Has 82.4% Probability of July Rate Hold, 17.6% Chance of 25bp Hike

2026-07-02 22:11:09

According to CME FedWatch, on July 3, the Federal Reserve has an 82.4% probability of keeping rates unchanged in July, with a 17.6% probability of a 25 basis point rate increase.

For September, the Fed has a 46.8% probability of maintaining rates, a 45.6% probability of a cumulative 25bp hike, and a 7.6% probability of a cumulative 50bp increase.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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