Predict.fun predicts a 58% chance that Spain will win the World Cup, while France has been eliminated.

On July 14, Spain defeated France 2-0 in the World Cup semifinals against Canada/Mexico in Arlington, Texas, to advance to the final first. This is Spain’s first appearance in a World Cup final since they won the title in 2010. As of July 15, Predict.fun’s latest World Cup champion prediction market shows Spain’s odds rising to 58%, England to 22%, and Argentina to 20%.

Predict.fun latest World Cup champion predictions: Spain 58%, England 22%, Argentina 20%

According to Predict.fun’s latest World Cup champion prediction market data as of July 15, after the reshuffling of the four-team lineup, the championship odds are as follows:

Spain (already advanced to the final): 58% (big jump after France was eliminated)

England: 22% (pending the semifinal result vs. Argentina)

Argentina: 20% (pending the semifinal result vs. England)

France: 0% (probability resets to zero after being eliminated in the semifinals)

France had previously been the top championship favorite on the prediction market. After losing 2-0 in the semifinals and being eliminated, the odds immediately dropped to zero. Spain therefore became the new biggest championship favorite.

Spain 2-0 over France: Oyarzabal converts from the spot, Boro scores

According to a Reuters report, Spain completely dominated France from the start with aggressive pressing and full control of possession. In the 22nd minute, after Cucurella crossed the ball, Diné’s follow-up action saw Yamal stumble in the penalty area, and the referee awarded a penalty. Oyarzabal fired the penalty high into the net, putting Spain ahead. Just under an hour in, Boro combined with Dani Olmo and calmly finished with a push shot to seal the victory, with the score ending at 2-0.

France had only two shots on target throughout the match, and key players such as Mbappé, Dembélé, Olissé, and Barcola failed to make an effective impact. After the game, France head coach Deschamps said, “Whether from a tactical, technical, or overall level perspective, we didn’t perform at the level we should have.”

FAQ

What are the probabilities for each team to win the latest World Cup champion on Predict.fun?

Based on Predict.fun’s data as of July 15, Spain has a 58% chance of winning, England 22%, and Argentina 20%. France’s odds are already at zero because they were eliminated in the semifinals.

When and with what score did Spain advance to the World Cup final?

According to a Reuters report, on July 14, 2026, Spain beat France 2-0 in Arlington, Texas, to advance to the final. The scorers were Oyarzabal (penalty) and Boro. This is Spain’s first time reaching a World Cup final since winning the title in 2010.

When is the other World Cup semifinal held, and who are the teams?

According to reports, the other semifinal between England and Argentina will be held on Wednesday in Atlanta, to determine who earns a spot in Sunday’s final against Spain.